Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 12′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- 31′Philadelphia Union, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 59′Seattle Sounders, substitution:G. Sandnesoff
- 60′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 60′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 65′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 65′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 80′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 80′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- 80′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 89′Philadelphia Union, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Match report
Iloski strike gives Philadelphia Union win over Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 at Subaru Park in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 17 fixture, with the only goal arriving before half-time to settle a contest the hosts controlled for long spells.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Milan Iloski put the Union ahead in the 31st minute, finishing from an assist by F. Westfield to make it 1-0, and that scoreline held through to half-time and remained unchanged for the rest of the match despite Seattle's efforts to respond.
Philadelphia carried the greater attacking threat throughout, registering 13 shots to Seattle's seven and forcing four efforts on target compared with just one from the visitors. The Union also dominated set-piece situations, winning five corners to Seattle's solitary one, underlining their territorial edge despite having less of the ball at 44 percent possession.
Milan Iloski scored the decisive goal of the afternoon and was rated 7.7, sharing top billing with team-mates Kai Wagner and Quinn Sullivan.
Philadelphia's 1.15 expected goals figure comfortably outstripped Seattle's 0.36, reflecting the home side's superior chance quality across the match.
Philadelphia Union beat Seattle Sounders 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Philadelphia Union met Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 17). Kick-off was Saturday, 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at Subaru Park. Referee: Tim Ford.
Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Milan Iloski (assist: Frankie Westfield) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Philadelphia Union 38%, the draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 35%. It finished Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders.
Home ground outweighs Seattle Sounders' rating edge — Seattle Sounders are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Philadelphia Union the lean. The draw at 27% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Philadelphia Union at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Seattle Sounders sit 86 points higher on our strength rating — 1564 to 1650. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,430 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,039 games vs 44.9% across all 98,308 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Seattle Sounders are the stronger side on our strength rating. Seattle Sounders sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.6% of 1,283 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally. Seattle Sounders hold 11 more possession points (54 to 43 in recent games) across a 86-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,536 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,708. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Seattle Sounders have shed 88 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.8% of 9,528 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Seattle Sounders are missing 4 regular starters — Jackson Ragen, Alexander Roldan, Cristian Roldan — about 40% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders. Explore more on the Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders team pages or the Major League Soccer page.