Houston Dynamo vs Austin — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 12′Houston Dynamo, goal:1–0assist
- 18′Austin, yellow card:Foul
- 29′Houston Dynamo, goal:2–0assist
- 32′Houston Dynamo, goal:3–0assist
- 42′Houston Dynamo, yellow card:Persistent fouling
- Half-time3 – 0
- 60′Austin, substitution:off
- 60′Austin, substitution:off
- 62′Austin, yellow card:Argument
- 62′Houston Dynamo, yellow card:Argument
- 63′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 70′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 70′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 70′Austin, substitution:off
- 71′Austin, substitution:off
- 82′Austin, substitution:off
- 84′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 85′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
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Houston Dynamo
Austin
Match report
Bogusz brace and Guilherme strike sink Austin in first-half rout
Houston Dynamo overwhelmed Austin 3-0 in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 17 fixture at Shell Energy Stadium, with all three goals arriving inside the opening 32 minutes to settle the contest long before half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mateusz Bogusz opened the scoring in the 12th minute, finishing after being set up by Ezequiel Ponce. He struck again in the 29th minute, this time converted from a Guilherme assist, before Guilherme completed the rout three minutes later, turning provider A. Bouzat's pass into the third goal. The score stood at 3-0 at the interval and neither side added to the tally in the second half.
Houston's dominance was reflected across the match statistics despite Austin holding a slight edge in possession. The hosts registered more shots and a considerably higher expected-goals figure, underlining how ruthlessly they capitalised on their early chances while Austin struggled to respond after falling behind.
Guilherme was involved directly in Houston's rout, scoring once and setting up another as he closed the match with a rating of 8.7, while Bogusz's brace also stood out with a mark of 8.5.
Houston's expected-goals figure of 1.7 more than doubled Austin's 0.82, reflecting the home side's control of the game's clearest chances.
Houston Dynamo beat Austin 3–0 (half-time 3–0).
Houston Dynamo met Austin in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 17). Kick-off was Sunday, 26 July 2026, 00:30 UTC at Shell Energy Stadium. Referee: Filip Dujic.
Team pages: Houston Dynamo · Austin · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 12' Goal: Mateusz Bogusz (assist: Ezequiel Ponce) — 1–0
- 29' Goal: Mateusz Bogusz (assist: Guilherme) — 2–0
- 32' Goal: Guilherme (assist: Agustín Bouzat) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Houston Dynamo (4-1-4-1)
- 31 Jonathan Bond
- 11 Lawrence Ennali
- 34 A. Resch
- 5 Lucas Halter
- 36 Felipe Andrade
- 18 Diadie Samassékou
- 20 Guilherme
- 16 Héctor Herrera (c)
- 30 Agustín Bouzat
- 19 Mateusz Bogusz
- 10 Ezequiel Ponce
Austin (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Houston Dynamo 57%, the draw 24%, Austin 19%. It finished Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin.
A slight rating edge to Houston Dynamo, little else — Houston Dynamo are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus Austin's hot finishing due to cool on top give Houston Dynamo a clear lead. The draw at 24% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Houston Dynamo at 57%?
Houston Dynamo sit 72 points higher on our strength rating — 1541 to 1469. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,270 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,039 games vs 44.9% across all 98,308 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Austin scored +0.54 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.2% of 1,415 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Austin at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,601. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Austin are missing 2 regular starters — Brendan Hines-Ike, Myrto Uzuni — about 35% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Houston Dynamo vs Austin final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin. Explore more on the Houston Dynamo and Austin team pages or the Major League Soccer page.