DC United vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 41′DC United, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 53′DC United, yellow card:
- 54′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 54′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 65′DC United, substitution:off
- 65′DC United, substitution:off
- 76′Toronto FC, goal:1–1
- 80′DC United, substitution:off
- 80′DC United, substitution:off
- 85′DC United, substitution:off
- 88′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- 90+2′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 90+10′DC United, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- Full-time2 – 1
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DC United
Toronto FC
Match report
DC United snatch stoppage-time winner over Toronto FC
DC United came from behind... actually they led first, then held on to beat Toronto FC 2-1 in a Major League Soccer regular season clash at Audi Field, with the decisive moment arriving deep into stoppage time. The result lifted Rene Weiler's side, who sit 16th in the table, above their opponents in a match played on matchday 17.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
K. Rowles put the home side ahead in the 41st minute, converting an assist from K. Kurokawa to send DC United in front at the break. Toronto FC responded through Theodor Corbeanu in the 76th minute, levelling the contest at 1-1 and threatening to secure a point against a DC side that had won just once in its previous five outings. But the game swung dramatically deep into added time.
T. Baribo settled the contest from the penalty spot in the tenth minute of stoppage time, restoring DC United's lead at 2-1 and sparking celebrations at the final whistle. DC United dominated territory less but created more, with their forward line proving decisive when it mattered most, despite Toronto FC edging possession for long spells.
Corbeanu scored Toronto FC's equaliser and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.3, underlining his influence in an otherwise losing effort.
Despite having only 45% of possession, DC United outshot Toronto FC 17 to 13 and posted a considerably higher expected goals figure of 2.43 to 1.42.
DC United beat Toronto FC 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
DC United met Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 17). Kick-off was Saturday, 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC at Audi Field. Referee: S. Boiko.
Team pages: DC United · Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Kye Rowles (assist: Keisuke Kurokawa) — 1–0
- 76' Goal: Theo Corbeanu — 1–1
- 90+10' Goal (penalty): Tai Baribo — 2–1
Starting line-ups
DC United (4-4-2)
Toronto FC (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave DC United 46%, the draw 25%, Toronto FC 29%. It finished DC United 2–1 Toronto FC.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage gives DC United the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why DC United in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1389 to 1427. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,706 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,039 games vs 44.9% across all 98,308 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Toronto FC hold 9 more possession points (48 to 39 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.4% across 5,507 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 25%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,708. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Toronto FC are winless in their last 9 visits to DC United. "Cursed ground" stories don't survive the receipts: winless visitors won 20.5% of 5,590 return visits vs 21.4% class-expected — the rating's own read already covers it.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the DC United vs Toronto FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from DC United 2–1 Toronto FC. Explore more on the DC United and Toronto FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.