Portland Timbers vs San Diego — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 17′Portland Timbers, yellow card:Foul
- 29′Portland Timbers, goal:1–0assist
- 45′San Diego, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 51′Portland Timbers, goal:2–1assist
- 58′San Diego, substitution:off
- 59′San Diego, substitution:off
- 62′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 68′Portland Timbers, goal:3–1assist
- 74′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 74′San Diego, substitution:off
- 74′San Diego, substitution:off
- 74′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 74′San Diego, substitution:off
- 83′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 83′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 90+1′San Diego, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′Portland Timbers, yellow card:Handball
- Full-time3 – 1
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Portland Timbers
San Diego
Match report
Portland Timbers overturn early setback to beat San Diego 3-1
Portland Timbers beat San Diego 3-1 at Providence Park in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture, coming from behind after the visitors levelled late in the first half. The result lifted Jack Cassidy's side, who sit 15th in the table, above a San Diego team occupying 20th place under Mikey Varas.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kristoffer Velde put the hosts ahead in the 29th minute, finishing off a Cole Bassett assist, but San Diego responded right on the stroke of half-time when Gabriel Pirani converted a Lewis Morgan cross to make it 1-1 at the break. Portland regained the lead early in the second half through Ariel Lassiter, teed up by Jimer Fory, before David Pereira da Costa added a third in the 68th minute, assisted by Velde himself.
San Diego held just 30 per cent of possession and managed 11 shots to Portland's 21, though their expected-goals figure of 1.6 was marginally higher than the hosts' 1.38. Portland were also the busier side at corners, winning seven to San Diego's none, while both teams picked up a single yellow card apiece.
Velde was involved in both of Portland's opening two goals, scoring the first and later setting up David Pereira da Costa for the third, finishing with a match rating of 8.5.
Portland dominated territory with 70 per cent of possession, underlining their control despite San Diego edging the expected-goals count.
Portland Timbers beat San Diego 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Portland Timbers met San Diego in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Kick-off was Thursday, 20 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at Providence Park. Referee: Rubiel Vazquez.
Team pages: Portland Timbers · San Diego · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 29' Goal: Kristoffer Velde (assist: Cole Bassett) — 1–0
- 45' Goal: Gabriel Pirani (assist: Lewis Morgan) — 1–1
- 51' Goal: Ariel Lassiter (assist: Jimer Fory) — 2–1
- 68' Goal: David Da Costa (assist: Kristoffer Velde) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Portland Timbers (4-2-3-1)
San Diego (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portland Timbers 49%, the draw 24%, San Diego 27%. It finished Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage gives Portland Timbers the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Portland Timbers in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1551 to 1598. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,796 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,086 games vs 44.9% across all 99,137 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 49%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Portland Timbers scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.4% of 1,459 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,939. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Diego are missing 1 regular starter — Anders Dreyer — about 17% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Last 6 between them: Portland Timbers 1 win, 2 draws, San Diego 3 wins. Most recently San Diego 1–2 Portland Timbers, 4 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5575 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portland Timbers vs San Diego final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego. Explore more on the Portland Timbers and San Diego team pages or the Major League Soccer page.