Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 4′Portland Timbers, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Los Angeles FC, yellow card:
- 20′Los Angeles FC, substitution:off
- 31′Portland Timbers, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 54′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 54′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 56′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 70′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 70′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 76′Los Angeles FC, substitution:off
- 76′Los Angeles FC, substitution:off
- 79′Los Angeles FC, goal:1–1assist
- 86′Los Angeles FC, yellow card:
- 89′Portland Timbers, yellow card:
- 90+3′Portland Timbers, second yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Match report
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers — the facts
Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Los Angeles FC met Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at BMO Stadium. Referee: Jon Freemon.
Team pages: Los Angeles FC · Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 4' Goal: David Da Costa (assist: Kristoffer Velde) — 0–1
- 79' Goal: Dénis Bouanga (assist: Jude Terry) — 1–1
- 90+3' Red card: Vincent Janssen
Starting line-ups
Los Angeles FC (4-3-3)
Portland Timbers (4-2-3-1)
- 41 James Pantemis
- 27 Jimer Fory
- 4 Kamal Miller
- 20 Finn Surman (c)
- 15 Eric Miller
- 30 José Caicedo
- 17 Cole Bassett
- 99 Kristoffer Velde
- 10 David Da Costa
- 7 Ariel Lassiter
- 19 Kevin Kelsy
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Los Angeles FC 61%, the draw 23%, Portland Timbers 16%. It finished Los Angeles FC 1–1 Portland Timbers.
Los Angeles FC's rating edge carries it — Los Angeles FC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Los Angeles FC a clear lead. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Los Angeles FC at 61%?
Los Angeles FC sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1704 to 1568. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,723 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,101 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–21–17.
Why only 61%?
Portland Timbers hold 8 more possession points (54 to 46 in recent games) across a 136-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,607 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Portland Timbers scored +0.64 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,779 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Portland Timbers have gained 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,189 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Los Angeles FC 1–1 Portland Timbers. Explore more on the Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers team pages or the Major League Soccer page.