New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 6′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- 22′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- 30′New York City FC, yellow card:
- 40′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 55′New York City FC, yellow card:
- 57′New York Red Bulls, goal:0–1
- 61′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 62′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 62′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 75′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 84′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 84′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 84′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
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New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Match report
Julian Hall strike gives Red Bulls win over New York City FC
New York Red Bulls edged New York City FC 1-0 in Major League Soccer's Regular Season - 26 at Yankee Stadium, a result that lifted them above their hosts in the table despite spending long spells without the ball.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The game was goalless at half-time before Julian Hall broke the deadlock in the 57th minute, turning the only goal of the match into the difference between the sides. New York City FC pushed for a response but could not find a way past a resolute Red Bulls defence.
New York City FC dominated possession with 63 percent of the ball and had 16 shots to New York Red Bulls' 10, yet their expected goals figure of 1.62 barely exceeded their opponents' 1.33, reflecting a stubborn away performance built on discipline rather than territory. Referee Jon Freemon issued three yellow cards to the visitors and two to the hosts in a niggly, foul-strewn contest.
Ethan Horvath and Julián Bazán both impressed for the Red Bulls with ratings above 7.4, but it was New York City FC's Nicolás Fernández Mercau who finished with the highest mark of the match at 7.72 despite finishing on the losing side.
New York City FC's 19 fouls to New York Red Bulls' 10 pointed to a scrappy, physical edge to the contest.
New York Red Bulls won 1–0 away against New York City FC (half-time 0–0).
New York City FC met New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Friday, 18 September 2026, 23:30 UTC at Yankee Stadium. Referee: Jon Freemon. Attendance: 29,270.
Team pages: New York City FC · New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 57' Goal: Julian Hall — 0–1
Starting line-ups
New York City FC (4-2-3-1)
- 49 Matt Freese
- 2 Nico Cavallo
- 6 James Sands
- 13 Thiago Martins (c)
- 24 Tayvon Gray
- 8 Andrés Perea
- 21 Aiden O'Neill
- 17 Hannes Wolf
- 7 Nicolás Fernández
- 26 Agustín Ojeda
- 20 Luighi
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
- 34 Ethan Horvath
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 14 Julián Bazán
- 26 Tim Parker
- 12 Dylan Nealis (c)
- 37 Mohammed Sofo
- 15 Adri Mehmeti
- 48 Ronald Donkor
- 7 Cade Cowell
- 16 Julian Hall
- 17 Cameron Harper
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York City FC 58%, the draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 17%. It finished New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls.
New York City FC's rating edge carries it — New York City FC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives New York City FC a clear lead. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why New York City FC at 58%?
New York City FC sit 122 points higher on our strength rating — 1606 to 1483. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,815 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,174 games vs 44.9% across all 100,280 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–24–19.
Why only 58%?
New York Red Bulls sit -0.64 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 39.0% of 2,450 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,846. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
New York Red Bulls are missing 3 regular starters — Ronald Donkor, Justin Che, Adri Mehmeti — about 29% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. New York City FC won 4 of the last 6 meetings with New York Red Bulls. The record is 4 wins for New York City FC, 1 draw and 1 win for New York Red Bulls. These were 5 Major League Soccer games and 1 US Open Cup game played between 28 September 2024 and 16 May 2026. Latest meeting: 16 May 2026 — New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. In 5,102 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls. Explore more on the New York City FC and New York Red Bulls team pages or the Major League Soccer page.