Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 25′Portland Timbers, yellow card:
- 28′Atlanta United FC, goal:0–1assist
- 32′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 45+1′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 45+1′Portland Timbers, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 58′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 64′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 65′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 75′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 75′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 75′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 82′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 82′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 85′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
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Portland Timbers
Atlanta United FC
Match report
Miranchuk strike gives Atlanta United win over Portland Timbers
Atlanta United secured a 1-0 win away to Portland Timbers in a Major League Soccer regular season fixture at Providence Park, with the game's only goal arriving before half-time and proving decisive across the remaining hour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Aleksey Miranchuk broke the deadlock in the 28th minute, converting from an assist by Miguel Almirón to put the visitors ahead. Portland were unable to find a way back despite pushing forward for long spells, and the score at half-time, 0-1, held all the way to the final whistle.
Portland dominated territory and chances, registering 21 shots to Atlanta's 10 and edging possession 53 percent to 47, yet could not turn that pressure into a leveller. Atlanta were the more clinical side in front of goal, making their single high-quality opportunity count while riding out a physical Portland approach that produced 13 fouls to their four.
Miranchuk scored the only goal of the match and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a mark of 7.82.
Despite conceding the game's only goal, Portland out-shot Atlanta 21 to 10, reflecting a lopsided territorial battle that yielded little reward.
Atlanta United FC won 1–0 away against Portland Timbers (half-time 0–1).
Portland Timbers met Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 26). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 02:30 UTC at Providence Park. Referee: Ismail Elfath. Attendance: 22,874.
Team pages: Portland Timbers · Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Aleksey Miranchuk (assist: Miguel Almirón) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Portland Timbers (4-3-3)
- 41 James Pantemis
- 27 Jimer Fory
- 2 Joel Waterman
- 20 Finn Surman
- 12 Ronald Hernández
- 17 Cole Bassett
- 21 Diego Chará (c)
- 10 David Da Costa
- 99 Kristoffer Velde
- 11 Antony
- 7 Ariel Lassiter
Atlanta United FC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portland Timbers 63%, the draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 15%. It finished Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United FC.
Portland Timbers' rating edge carries it — Portland Timbers are the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives Portland Timbers a clear lead. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Portland Timbers at 63%?
Portland Timbers sit 112 points higher on our strength rating — 1555 to 1442. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,822 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.3% of 5,175 games vs 44.9% across all 100,303 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 48–26–26.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Atlanta United FC at 15%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Portland Timbers scored +0.66 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,876 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Portland Timbers are missing 2 regular starters — David Pereira da Costa, José Caicedo — about 20% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United FC. Explore more on the Portland Timbers and Atlanta United FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.