New York City FC vs CF Montreal — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 23′New York City FC, yellow card:
- 29′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 38′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 41′New York City FC, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 47′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 52′New York City FC, yellow card:
- 55′New York City FC, yellow card:
- 57′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 57′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 57′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 70′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 73′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 74′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- 74′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- 74′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- 86′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- 87′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 90+1′CF Montreal, goal:1–1assist
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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New York City FC
CF Montreal
Match report
New York City FC denied by late Montreal equaliser at Citi Field
New York City FC and CF Montreal drew 1-1 at Citi Field on Matchday 33 of Major League Soccer, with Daniel Ríos snatching a point for the visitors in the first minute of stoppage time. Andrés Perea had put the home side ahead shortly before the interval, and for most of the second half that lead looked like being enough.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Perea struck in the 41st minute, converting a chance created by Nicolás Fernández, to give New York City a 1-0 half-time advantage. The hosts had the better of the play, holding 53% of possession and having 12 shots to Montreal's 10, four of them on target against two from the visitors.
Montreal pressed late and were rewarded in the 90+1 minute when Ríos finished from Luca Petrasso's assist, making it 1-1. The result left the visitors without a win in six games, still 29th in the table on 26 points, 13 behind New York City, who moved up to 22nd on 39.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 19% chance. Both sides are in action again next Saturday, 7 November: New York City travel to DC United, while Montreal host Vancouver Whitecaps, both in Major League Soccer.
Perea scored the opening goal and earned the highest rating among the performers, 7.46. Fernández was not far behind on 7.34, having supplied the pass for the goal.
New York City had four shots on target to Montreal's two.
New York City FC and CF Montreal drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
New York City FC met CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 33). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Yankee Stadium. Referee: Timothy Ford. Attendance: 17,522.
Team pages: New York City FC · CF Montreal · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Andrés Perea (assist: Nicolás Fernández) — 1–0
- 90+1' Goal: Daniel Ríos (assist: Luca Petrasso) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
New York City FC (4-3-3)
CF Montreal (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York City FC 69%, the draw 19%, CF Montreal 12%. It finished New York City FC 1–1 CF Montreal.
Strength rating puts New York City FC clearly ahead — We give New York City FC 69% mainly because our strength rating has them clearly stronger, 1484 to 1319, with home advantage running strong in Major League Soccer adding to it. The draw sits at 19%, just below the usual 20% for a gap this size, as a finishing streak trims it slightly more than typical scoring lifts it.
Why New York City FC at 69%?
New York City FC sit 165 points higher on our strength rating — 1484 to 1319. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.0% of 5,282 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–25–16.
Why only 69%?
CF Montreal sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,970 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,357. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Thomas Gillier, on a provisional rating. Doubtful: Prince Owusu, a star player, and Jalen Neal, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. CF Montreal won 4 of the last 6 meetings with New York City FC. The record is 4 wins for CF Montreal, 0 draws and 2 wins for New York City FC. These were 6 Major League Soccer games played at both grounds between 30 August 2023 and 25 April 2026. Latest meeting: 25 April 2026 — CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC. In 6,096 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York City FC vs CF Montreal final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York City FC 1–1 CF Montreal. Explore more on the New York City FC and CF Montreal team pages or the Major League Soccer page.

