San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 2′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:1–0
- 17′San Jose Earthquakes, goal:2–0assist
- 23′Real Salt Lake, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 46′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 46′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 46′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 46′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 60′San Jose Earthquakes, yellow card:
- 60′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 60′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 60′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 60′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 63′Real Salt Lake, yellow card:
- 70′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 71′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 81′San Jose Earthquakes, substitution:off
- 90+6′Real Salt Lake, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake
Match report
San Jose Earthquakes hold off Real Salt Lake to end winless run
San Jose Earthquakes beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 at Avaya Stadium on Matchday 33 of Major League Soccer, ending a run of five games without a win. Two goals inside the opening 17 minutes gave the hosts the platform, and they protected it through the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ousseni Bouda opened the scoring in the 2nd minute to put San Jose in front almost immediately. Benji Kikanović doubled the lead in the 17th minute, set up by Jamar Ricketts, and the home side led 2-0 before the game was a quarter of an hour old.
Real Salt Lake responded in the 23rd minute, when Juan Sanabria scored from a Sam Junqua assist to make it 2-1. There were no further goals, and the visitors could not find an equaliser despite having 56 per cent of the ball and 16 shots to San Jose's 15. Both sides put five shots on target.
The result lifted San Jose from tenth to eighth in the table on 52 points, while Real Salt Lake slipped from 18th to 19th on 42. San Jose travel to Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer next, while Real Salt Lake host Los Angeles Galaxy.
Juan Sanabria scored Real Salt Lake's goal in the 23rd minute and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.91, though it came in defeat. Bouda, who scored the opener after two minutes, was the best-rated of San Jose's players at 7.65.
Real Salt Lake had 56 per cent of possession but still lost, with San Jose finishing on 44 per cent.
San Jose Earthquakes beat Real Salt Lake 2–1 (half-time 2–1).
San Jose Earthquakes met Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 33). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 21:00 UTC at PayPal Park. Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez. Attendance: 18,251.
Team pages: San Jose Earthquakes · Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Ousseni Bouda — 1–0 · Watch Ousseni Bouda's goal video (2')
- 17' Goal: Benji Kikanović (assist: Jamar Ricketts) — 2–0 · Watch Benji Kikanović's goal video (17')
- 23' Goal: Juan Sanabria (assist: Sam Junqua) — 2–1 · Watch Juan Sanabria's goal video (23')
Starting line-ups
San Jose Earthquakes (3-4-1-2)
Real Salt Lake (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave San Jose Earthquakes 42%, the draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 31%. It finished San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
Home advantage edges a level contest — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, the usual home advantage, strong across Major League Soccer, puts San Jose Earthquakes in front at 42%, though Real Salt Lake's finishing cold streak, which tends to bounce back, pulls the other way. The draw sits at 27%, near the usual rate for sides this level, nudged up by that streak and slightly down by typical scoring.
Why San Jose Earthquakes in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1470 to 1479. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,649 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.0% of 5,282 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Real Salt Lake sit -0.42 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.1% of 1,669 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. The bounce-back factor adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Morgan Guilavogui, an important player, and Diego Luna, a rotation player. Doubtful: Juan Arias, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Last five: San Jose Earthquakes D-D-D-L-D, Real Salt Lake L-D-W-W-W — Real Salt Lake are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2031 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3929 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ousseni Bouda's goal against Real Salt Lake (2').
- Watch Benji Kikanović's goal against Real Salt Lake (17').
- Watch Juan Sanabria's goal against San Jose Earthquakes (23').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Explore more on the San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake team pages or the Major League Soccer page.