Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna — La Liga: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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EspanyolDeportivo La CorunaEspanyolDeportivo La CorunaMatch preview
Espanyol host higher-placed Deportivo La Coruna at RCDE Stadium in La Liga
Espanyol welcome Deportivo La Coruna to RCDE Stadium on Matchday 12 of La Liga, with the hosts in 14th place on 11 points from 11 games. Eder Sarabia's side arrive on the back of a 1-0 away win at Villarreal on 30 October, which followed three consecutive defeats.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Deportivo La Coruna, managed by Antonio Hidalgo, sit eighth on 14 points from 11 games, three points and six places above their opponents. They have won their last two, beating Auriense 3-0 away and then Osasuna 2-1 at home on 2 November.
Over their last five games Espanyol have won once, drawn once and lost three, scoring six goals and conceding eight. Deportivo have won two, drawn one and lost two in the same span, scoring eight and conceding six.
Across their last 5 meetings, Espanyol won 3, Deportivo La Coruna won 0, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Deportivo La Coruna 0–0 Espanyol on 23 February 2018. Espanyol's latest win in this sample was Espanyol 4–1 Deportivo La Coruna on 24 September 2017.
Deportivo La Coruna have won two of their last five with eight goals scored, while Espanyol have won one of their last five and conceded eight.
Both sides have faced Atletico Madrid recently and lost 1-0 each time: Espanyol at home on 17 October, Deportivo away on 24 October.
Espanyol meet Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:15 UTC at RCDE Stadium.
Team pages: Espanyol · Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga
Sirius · Why these numbers
Espanyol 44% · Draw 28% · Deportivo La Coruna 28%
Home advantage gives Espanyol a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1603 to 1612, the usual home advantage and a strong home edge across La Liga put Espanyol in front at 44%. The draw sits at 28%, nudged up from the usual 27% for sides this level because both teams' recent games average 2.6 goals.
Why Espanyol in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1603 to 1612. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,670 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,189 games vs 44.6% across all 108,407 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 44%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Deportivo La Coruna at 28%.
Why is the draw second, level with the Deportivo La Coruna win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,389. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Espanyol have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Espanyol are 1 game into a new manager (Eder Sarabia), appointed 7 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this La Liga fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna team pages or the La Liga page.