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Strasbourg vs 12.09.26 15:151 – 1Full Time
Monaco — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Strasbourg met Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade de la Meinau. Referee: Eric Wattellier.
Team pages: Strasbourg · Monaco · Ligue 1
Before kick-off Sirius gave Strasbourg 31%, the draw 27%, Monaco 42%. It finished Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco.
Monaco's rating edge outweighs Strasbourg's home ground — Monaco are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Monaco the lean. The draw at 27% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Monaco sit 128 points higher on our strength rating — 1761 to 1890. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,164 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Strasbourg's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–34–37.
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Strasbourg at 31%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
Strasbourg scored +0.63 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,853 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Monaco scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Strasbourg vs Monaco final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco. Explore more on the Strasbourg and Monaco team pages or the Ligue 1 page.
Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Sadibou Sané (52') (own goal) for Strasbourg; Paris Josua Brunner (71') for Monaco.
Goal highlights and video clips from Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Strasbourg and Monaco have met 10 times — 3 wins for Strasbourg, 6 wins for Monaco and 1 draw.