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- 5′Lille, goal:1–0assist
- 22′Lille, substitution:off
- Half-time1 – 0
- 57′Lille, substitution:off
- 57′Lille, substitution:off
- 61′Le Havre, red card:
- 63′Le Havre, yellow card:
- 69′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 69′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 73′Lille, substitution:off
- 73′Lille, substitution:off
- 76′Le Havre, yellow card:
- 82′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 85′Lille, yellow card:
- 90+2′Lille, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
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Key Stats
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Lille
Le Havre
Match report
Lille edge Le Havre 1-0 to stay top of Ligue 1
Lille beat Le Havre 1-0 in Ligue 1 on Matchday 6 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, a result that kept the home side first in the table on 13 points from six games. Le Havre, who began the day 18th with two points, were left still searching for a first win of the campaign in the league's early weeks.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment came inside five minutes. Tanguy-Austin Nianzou supplied the pass and Dilane Bakwa finished to make it 1-0 in the 5th minute, giving Davide Ancelotti's side the lead they would protect through the remainder of the afternoon and into the interval.
Le Havre had the greater share of the ball, with 53 per cent possession against 47, and they had 17 shots to Lille's 5. Only two of those efforts tested the goalkeeper, however, and the visitors never found an equaliser.
Their task grew harder in the 61st minute when Ayumu Seko was shown a red card, leaving D. Digard's team a man short for the final half-hour. Lille held on to the single goal, which was the only one of the match, to collect all three points.
Bakwa scored the only goal of the match, a 5th-minute finish set up by Nianzou, and was rated 7.55. Rassoul Ndiaye of Le Havre carried the highest rating among the top performers at 7.59.
Le Havre outshot Lille by 17 shots to 5, yet still lost 1-0.
Lille beat Le Havre 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Lille met Le Havre in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Referee: Bastien Dechepy. Attendance: 41,268.
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Dilane Bakwa (assist: Tanguy Nianzou) — 1–0
- 61' Red card: Ayumu Seko
Starting line-ups
Lille (4-2-3-1)
Le Havre (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lille 64%, the draw 22%, Le Havre 14%. It finished Lille 1–0 Le Havre.
Lille's rating gap decides it — Lille are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lille's 64%. The draw at 22% is up from the usual 20.0% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Lille at 64%?
Lille sit 191 points higher on our strength rating — 1755 to 1564. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.7% of 6,563 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–19–12.
Why only 64%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Lille's column. Across 11,252 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,284. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Lille have averaged 5 percentage points more possession than Le Havre in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Le Havre come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 15 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lille vs Le Havre final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lille 1–0 Le Havre. Explore more on the Lille and Le Havre team pages or the Ligue 1 page.