HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
- 3′Nice, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 37′Nice, substitution:off
- 41′Strasbourg, goal:0–1assist
- 45+2′Nice, own goal:1–1Own goal
- Half-time1 – 1
- 47′Strasbourg, yellow card:
- 63′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 63′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 73′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 73′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 73′Nice, substitution:off
- 75′Nice, yellow card:
- 76′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 81′Nice, goal:2–1assist
- 86′Nice, substitution:off
- 86′Nice, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
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Nice
Strasbourg
Match report
Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 as Clauss strikes late at Allianz Riviera
Nice beat Strasbourg 2-1 at the Allianz Riviera in Ligue 1 on Matchday 6, Jonathan Clauss scoring the winner nine minutes from time. The result lifted the hosts from 15th, with five points from five games, to ninth on eight points, while Strasbourg slipped from 10th to 11th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Strasbourg took the lead in the 41st minute, when Dário Essugo finished from a Conrad Harder assist to make it 1-0 to the visitors. Nice drew level just before the interval: in the 45+2 minute Pape Diop turned the ball into his own net, and the sides went in at 1-1.
The second half stayed tight until the 81st minute. Sofiane Diop supplied the pass and Clauss scored to make it 2-1, and Nice held that lead to the end. There were no red cards, with one yellow shown to each side, and the referee was Jeremie Pignard.
Clauss scored the winning goal in the 81st minute, set up by Sofiane Diop, and earned the match's highest rating of 8.7.
Nice put six of their 11 shots on target, against three of 11 for Strasbourg.
Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Nice met Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Allianz Riviera. Referee: Jeremie Pignard. Attendance: 19,812.
Team pages: Nice · Strasbourg · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Dário Essugo (assist: Conrad Harder) — 0–1
- 45+2' Goal (own goal): Pape Demba Diop — 1–1
- 81' Goal: Jonathan Clauss (assist: Sofiane Diop) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nice 34%, the draw 27%, Strasbourg 39%. It finished Nice 2–1 Strasbourg.
Strasbourg's rating edge outweighs Nice's home ground — Strasbourg are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Strasbourg the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Strasbourg at 39%?
Strasbourg sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1610 to 1717. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,822 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Nice's column. Across 11,278 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–29–40.
Why only 39%?
Nice sit -0.50 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.6% of 2,512 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,145. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Strasbourg scored +0.56 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,825 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Nice have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nice vs Strasbourg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Nice 2–1 Strasbourg. Explore more on the Nice and Strasbourg team pages or the Ligue 1 page.