Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
- 16′Paris Saint Germain, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 19′Paris Saint Germain, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 47′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 54′Le Mans, goal:1–1assist
- 54′Le Mans, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 58′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 58′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 59′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 59′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 61′Paris Saint Germain, goal:2–1
- 65′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 66′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 68′Paris Saint Germain, goal:3–1assist
- 72′Paris Saint Germain, substitution:off
- 72′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 72′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 77′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 90+2′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 90+2′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 90+3′Paris Saint Germain, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 90+3′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 90+5′Paris Saint Germain, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
Match report
Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3-1 at Parc des Princes
Paris Saint Germain won 3-1 against Le Mans in Ligue 1 on Matchday 6, a four-goal match at Parc des Princes that lifted the hosts to 11 points from six games and fifth in the table. Le Mans, on six points, stayed twelfth.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts went ahead after 19 minutes when Beraldo converted a penalty, and they led 1-0 at half-time. Le Mans levelled nine minutes after the restart, Louis Mafouta finishing from a Lucas Calodat assist to make it 1-1.
Paris restored their lead within seven minutes, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia scoring in the 61st minute to make it 2-1. Maghnes Akliouche added a third in the 68th, set up by Warren Zaïre-Emery, and Le Mans found no way back from there.
The match was one-sided in how it was played. Paris held 73 per cent of possession and had 22 shots, eight of them on target, while Le Mans managed 11 attempts with three on target. The visitors also picked up five yellow cards to none for the hosts.
Lucas Digne received the highest rating of any player, 7.76, without a goal or assist to his name. Akliouche, rated 7.64, scored Paris's third goal.
Paris had 22 shots to Le Mans's 11, underlining the pressure they exerted for most of the evening.
Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
Paris Saint Germain met Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Parc des Princes. Referee: Mathieu Vernice. Attendance: 47,926.
Team pages: Paris Saint Germain · Le Mans · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 19' Goal (penalty): Lucas Beraldo — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Louis Mafouta (assist: Lucas Calodat) — 1–1
- 61' Goal: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia — 2–1
- 68' Goal: Maghnes Akliouche (assist: Warren Zaïre-Emery) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3)
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Paris Saint Germain 79%, the draw 14%, Le Mans 7%. It finished Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans.
Paris Saint Germain's rating gap decides it — Paris Saint Germain are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Paris Saint Germain's 79%. The draw at 14% is up from the usual 12.5% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Paris Saint Germain at 79%?
Paris Saint Germain sit 376 points higher on our strength rating — 1963 to 1587. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,549 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 81–12–7.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Paris Saint Germain's column. Across 11,252 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 14%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 12.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paris Saint Germain have averaged 16 percentage points more possession than Le Mans in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Le Mans are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans. Explore more on the Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans team pages or the Ligue 1 page.