Heerenveen vs Excelsior — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 11′Heerenveen, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 43′Excelsior, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 54′Heerenveen, goal:2–0assist
- 66′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 66′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 66′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 73′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 77′Excelsior, substitution:off
- 82′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 82′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 82′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 84′Heerenveen, goal:3–0assist
- 86′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 88′Heerenveen, goal:4–0
- Full-time4 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Match report
Heerenveen beat Excelsior 4-0 at the Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen won 4-0 against Excelsior in Eredivisie Matchday 9 at the Abe Lenstra Stadion, a result that lifted them from tenth to eighth in the table. Dylan Vente gave the hosts the lead from the penalty spot in the 11th minute, and that goal was all that separated the sides at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Oliver Braude doubled the advantage in the 54th minute, finishing from a Jacob Trenskow assist. Excelsior, who had taken 11 points from their first eight games, never found a way back into the contest and mustered a single shot on target all afternoon.
The game was effectively settled late on. Luca Oyen made it 3-0 in the 84th minute from a Ringo Meerveld assist, and Trenskow, who had set up the second goal, added a fourth in the 88th. Heerenveen finished with 14 shots to Excelsior's 5, seven of them on target.
Heerenveen, now on 12 points, travel to ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October. Excelsior, who dropped to tenth on 11 points, are away to Fortuna Sittard on Sunday 25 October.
Jacob Trenskow scored once and provided an assist, earning the highest rating of the match at 9.0. Oliver Braude, who scored the second goal, followed on 8.64.
Heerenveen had seven shots on target to Excelsior's one.
Heerenveen beat Excelsior 4–0 (half-time 1–0).
Heerenveen met Excelsior in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Referee: Robin Hensgens.
Team pages: Heerenveen · Excelsior · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 11' Goal (penalty): Dylan Vente — 1–0 · Watch Dylan Vente's goal video (11')
- 54' Goal: Oliver Braude (assist: Jacob Trenskow) — 2–0 · Watch Oliver Braude's goal video (54')
- 84' Goal: Luca Oyen (assist: Ringo Meerveld) — 3–0 · Watch Luca Oyen's goal video (84')
- 88' Goal: Jacob Trenskow — 4–0 · Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal video (88')
Starting line-ups
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
Excelsior (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Heerenveen 59%, the draw 22%, Excelsior 19%. It finished Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior.
Heerenveen's stronger rating leads, helped by possession — We give Heerenveen 59% mainly because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1553 to 1498, and their usual control of the ball, 54% possession to 45% in recent games, adds to that. The draw starts near 27%, the usual rate for this gap, but falls to 22% because Excelsior's hot finishing streak and both sides' high-scoring recent games, averaging 3.2 goals, pull it down.
Why Heerenveen at 59%?
Heerenveen sit 54 points higher on our strength rating — 1553 to 1498. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,394 such games. Heerenveen hold 9 more possession points (54 to 45 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,146 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Excelsior scored +0.72 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.3% of 1,468 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Excelsior at 19%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,931. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Excelsior come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals and 14 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Heerenveen vs Excelsior final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Dylan Vente's goal against Excelsior (11').
- Watch Oliver Braude's goal against Excelsior (54').
- Watch Luca Oyen's goal against Excelsior (84').
- Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal against Excelsior (88').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior. Explore more on the Heerenveen and Excelsior team pages or the Eredivisie page.