Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 26′Utrecht, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 62′Utrecht, substitution:off
- 71′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 72′PEC Zwolle, goal:0–1assist
- 74′Utrecht, substitution:off
- 74′Utrecht, substitution:off
- 76′PEC Zwolle, yellow card:Foul
- 83′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 83′Utrecht, substitution:off
- 83′Utrecht, substitution:off
- 87′PEC Zwolle, yellow card:Foul
- 89′Utrecht, yellow card:Foul
- 90+1′Utrecht, goal:1–1
- Full-time1 – 1
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Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Match report
Utrecht snatch late equaliser to draw with PEC Zwolle
Utrecht and PEC Zwolle drew 1-1 in an Eredivisie matchday 10 fixture at Stadion Galgenwaard, with Sem van Duijn's stoppage-time goal rescuing a point for the home side. The match was goalless at half-time, and it stayed that way for the best part of an hour into the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Zwolle took the lead in the 72nd minute. Thijs Oosting supplied the pass and Elias Sørensen finished to make it 1-0 to the visitors, who had managed far less of the ball than their hosts. Utrecht kept pressing, finishing with 23 shots to 9 and 60 per cent of possession.
The equaliser arrived in the 90+1 minute, when Van Duijn scored to level at 1-1. Neither side found a winner. Utrecht, who went into the game 11th, finished the day 10th on 12 points, while Zwolle stayed 15th, now on 8 points.
Utrecht's next game is an away KNVB Beker tie against Kozakken Boys on Thursday, while Zwolle host FC OSS in the same competition on Wednesday.
Van Duijn scored Utrecht's stoppage-time equaliser and received the match's highest rating, 8.2. Sørensen, who scored Zwolle's goal, was rated 7.49.
Utrecht had 23 shots to Zwolle's 9, yet each side put five efforts on target.
Utrecht and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Utrecht met PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at Stadion Galgenwaard. Referee: Martijn Vos.
Team pages: Utrecht · PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 72' Goal: Elias Sørensen (assist: Thijs Oosting) — 0–1 · Watch Elias Sørensen's goal video (72')
- 90+1' Goal: Sem van Duijn — 1–1 · Watch Sem van Duijn's goal video (90+1')
Starting line-ups
Utrecht (4-2-3-1)
PEC Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Utrecht 58%, the draw 23%, PEC Zwolle 19%. It finished Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle.
Utrecht's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Utrecht 58% mainly because our strength rating puts them 146 points higher, 1573 to 1427, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 23%, a little below the usual 25% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Utrecht at 58%?
Utrecht sit 146 points higher on our strength rating — 1573 to 1427. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–26–14.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and PEC Zwolle at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Utrecht come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals and 16 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Out: Alonzo Engwanda, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Elias Sørensen's goal against Utrecht (72').
- Watch Sem van Duijn's goal against PEC Zwolle (90+1').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle. Explore more on the Utrecht and PEC Zwolle team pages or the Eredivisie page.