NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 11′Groningen, goal:0–1assist
- 34′Groningen, goal:0–2assist
- 42′Groningen, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 56′Groningen, yellow card:Time wasting
- 56′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 56′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 57′NEC Nijmegen, goal:1–2assist
- 58′NEC Nijmegen, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 68′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 71′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–2
- 72′Groningen, substitution:off
- 73′Groningen, substitution:off
- 73′Groningen, substitution:off
- 76′Groningen, substitution:off
- 79′Groningen, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Match report
NEC Nijmegen recover from two down to draw with Groningen
NEC Nijmegen came from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Groningen at Stadion de Goffert on Matchday 10 of the Eredivisie. Brynjólfur Willumsson had put the visitors in command with two first-half goals, but the home side hit back after the interval to take a point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Willumsson opened the scoring in the 11th minute, converting Marco Rente's assist, and doubled the lead in the 34th after Thom van Bergen set him up. Groningen went in at half-time 2-0 ahead despite NEC having the greater share of the ball.
The hosts pulled one back in the 57th minute when Clement Bischoff scored from Darko Nejašmić's assist, and Noé Lebreton levelled in the 71st. NEC finished with 22 shots to 9 and 11 corners to 2, though neither side found a winner. Groningen collected three yellow cards to none for the hosts.
The draw left NEC 12th on 11 points, with Groningen eighth on 15. Groningen host Emmen in the KNVB Beker on Thursday, while NEC travel to Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Saturday.
Willumsson scored both of Groningen's goals, in the 11th and 34th minutes, and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 8.7. Lebreton, who equalised for NEC, was next on 8.03.
NEC had 22 shots to Groningen's 9 but could not turn that territorial pressure into a winner.
NEC Nijmegen and Groningen drew 2–2 (half-time 0–2).
NEC Nijmegen met Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC at Stadion de Goffert. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof.
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Groningen · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Brynjólfur Willumsson (assist: Marco Rente) — 0–1
- 34' Goal: Brynjólfur Willumsson (assist: Thom van Bergen) — 0–2
- 57' Goal: Clement Bischoff (assist: Darko Nejašmić) — 1–2
- 71' Goal: Noé Lebreton — 2–2
Starting line-ups
NEC Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
Groningen (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NEC Nijmegen 54%, the draw 22%, Groningen 24%. It finished NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen.
Ball control edges NEC Nijmegen in front — Our strength rating has the sides level, so NEC Nijmegen's lead comes mainly from their usual control of the ball, 55 to 49 in possession, helped by Groningen's recent scoring above their chances, a kind of streak that tends to cool off. The draw starts at the usual 27% for sides this level and drops to 22%, mostly because both teams' recent games average 4.0 goals.
Why NEC Nijmegen in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1572 to 1548. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,530 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). NEC Nijmegen hold 6 more possession points (55 to 49 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,598 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. Groningen scored +0.63 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,631 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 54%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and Groningen at 24%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NEC Nijmegen come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 14 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Out: Dušan Tadić, an important player, and Philippe Sandler, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the NEC Nijmegen and Groningen team pages or the Eredivisie page.