ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow5 clips- 24′Heerenveen, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 51′Heerenveen, goal:0–2assist
- 56′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 56′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 57′ADO Den Haag, goal:1–2
- 59′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- 66′Heerenveen, goal:1–3assist
- 67′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 72′ADO Den Haag, goal:2–3assist
- 73′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 73′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 81′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 86′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 90′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen
Match report
Heerenveen hold off ADO Den Haag fightback to win 3-2
Heerenveen won 3-2 away to ADO Den Haag at the Bingoal Stadion in Eredivisie matchday 10, surviving a second-half comeback attempt from the hosts. The result lifted the visitors from ninth to seventh in the table, while ADO Den Haag remained 17th with six points from ten games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jacob Trenskow opened the scoring in the 24th minute, converting a Maxence Rivera assist, and Heerenveen led 1-0 at the break. Ringo Meerveld doubled the advantage in the 51st minute from an Oliver Braude assist, and ADO appeared to be heading for another defeat.
Nigel Thomas pulled one back in the 57th minute, but Trenskow struck again in the 66th, again set up by Rivera, to restore a two-goal cushion. Thomas scored a second in the 72nd minute, assisted by Evan Rottier, and the hosts pressed for an equaliser without finding it.
ADO had the greater share of the play, with 23 shots to 15 and 53 per cent possession, but Heerenveen were sharper in front of goal. ADO next travel to Excelsior '31 in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday, while Heerenveen visit Excelsior Maassluis in the same competition on Wednesday.
Jacob Trenskow scored twice and earned a rating of 9.24, the highest of any player on the pitch. Maxence Rivera supplied both of his goals and was rated 8.6.
ADO Den Haag won the corner count 8 to 2 but still lost the match.
Heerenveen won 3–2 away against ADO Den Haag (half-time 0–1).
ADO Den Haag met Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Bingoal Stadion. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Team pages: ADO Den Haag · Heerenveen · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Jacob Trenskow (assist: Maxence Rivera) — 0–1 · Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal video (24')
- 51' Goal: Ringo Meerveld (assist: Oliver Braude) — 0–2 · Watch Ringo Meerveld's goal video (51')
- 57' Goal: Nigel Thomas — 1–2 · Watch Nigel Thomas's goal video (57')
- 66' Goal: Jacob Trenskow (assist: Maxence Rivera) — 1–3 · Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal video (66')
- 72' Goal: Nigel Thomas (assist: Evan Rottier) — 2–3 · Watch Nigel Thomas's goal video (72')
Starting line-ups
ADO Den Haag (4-4-2)
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave ADO Den Haag 20%, the draw 22%, Heerenveen 58%. It finished ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen.
Heerenveen's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give Heerenveen 58% mainly because our strength rating has them 243 points higher, 1573 to 1331, which outweighs the usual home advantage ADO Den Haag start with. The draw sits at 22%, a little below the usual 24% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Heerenveen at 58%?
Heerenveen sit 243 points higher on our strength rating — 1573 to 1331. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,277 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–26–53.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and ADO Den Haag at 20%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
ADO Den Haag are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Heerenveen are unbeaten in their last 6 visits to ADO Den Haag: 3 wins and 3 draws, across 6 Eredivisie games. No earlier defeat in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 28 November 2020 — ADO Den Haag 1–1 Heerenveen. Across 2,282 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.1%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal against ADO Den Haag (24').
- Watch Ringo Meerveld's goal against ADO Den Haag (51').
- Watch Nigel Thomas's goal against Heerenveen (57').
- Watch Jacob Trenskow's goal against ADO Den Haag (66').
- Watch Nigel Thomas's goal against Heerenveen (72').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen. Explore more on the ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen team pages or the Eredivisie page.