Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsAFC AjaxYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 22′Ajax, goal:0–1assist
- 43′Sparta Rotterdam, goal:1–1assist
- 45+1′Ajax, goal:1–2assist
- Half-time1 – 2
- 46′Ajax, substitution:off
- 56′Sparta Rotterdam, substitution:off
- 61′Ajax, substitution:off
- 61′Ajax, substitution:off
- 64′Ajax, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Sparta Rotterdam, substitution:off
- 79′Ajax, substitution:off
- 84′Sparta Rotterdam, substitution:off
- 84′Sparta Rotterdam, substitution:off
- 88′Ajax, substitution:off
- 89′Sparta Rotterdam, yellow card:Foul
- 90+3′Ajax, yellow card:Time wasting
- Full-time1 – 2
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Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Match report
Ajax beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 as Brandt sets up both goals
Ajax won 2-1 away to Sparta Rotterdam at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel in Eredivisie matchday 10, taking all three points from a first half that produced every goal of the afternoon. Míchel's side moved from fourth to second in the table, 12 points clear of 14th-placed Sparta after the result.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ajax went ahead in the 22nd minute when A. Ouazane finished from a Julian Brandt assist. Sparta answered before the break, Jens Toornstra equalising in the 43rd minute from an Isaac Babadi pass to make it 1-1.
The visitors regained the lead almost immediately. In the 45+1 minute Tolu Arokodare scored from another Brandt delivery, and neither side found a way through after the interval. Ajax had 59% of possession and 16 shots to 11, while Sparta committed 15 fouls to the visitors' 7.
Sparta, who went into the game 14th with nine points from nine matches, turn to the KNVB Beker on Wednesday, when they host Fortuna Sittard. Ajax return to league action on Saturday at home to AZ Alkmaar.
Julian Brandt created both Ajax goals, assisting A. Ouazane and Tolu Arokodare, and earned the match's highest rating of 8.49. Ouazane, who scored the opener, was next on 8.16.
Ajax had 59% of possession against Sparta's 41%.
Ajax won 2–1 away against Sparta Rotterdam (half-time 1–2).
Sparta Rotterdam met Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:45 UTC at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel. Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie.
Team pages: Sparta Rotterdam · Ajax · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 22' Goal: A. Ouazane (assist: Julian Brandt) — 0–1 · Watch A. Ouazane's goal video (22')
- 43' Goal: Jens Toornstra (assist: Isaac Babadi) — 1–1
- 45+1' Goal: Tolu Arokodare (assist: Julian Brandt) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Sparta Rotterdam (5-4-1)
Ajax (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sparta Rotterdam 17%, the draw 22%, Ajax 61%. It finished Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax.
Ajax's strength edge makes them clear favourites — We give Ajax 61% mainly because they sit 252 points higher on our strength rating, 1706 to 1454, which outweighs the usual home advantage Sparta Rotterdam start with. The draw sits at 22%, a little below the usual 24% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games have averaged 4.4 goals.
Why Ajax at 61%?
Ajax sit 252 points higher on our strength rating — 1706 to 1454. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,282 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 17–26–57.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Sparta Rotterdam at 17%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 4.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ajax have averaged 15 percentage points more possession than Sparta Rotterdam in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Sparta Rotterdam have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax. Explore more on the Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax team pages or the Eredivisie page.