Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsRSC AnderlechtYouTubeMatch Events
- 5′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 45+1′Anderlecht, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- Half-time
- 52′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 54′RAAL La Louvière, goal:0–1
- 58′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 58′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 59′RAAL La Louvière, second yellow card:Foul
- 62′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 69′Anderlecht, goal:1–1assist
- 72′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 73′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 78′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 79′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 89′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 89′Anderlecht, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Anderlecht, goal:2–1
- 90+1′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 90+3′Anderlecht, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time2 – 1
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Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
Match report
Anderlecht stun ten-man RAAL La Louvière with late comeback
Anderlecht came from behind to beat RAAL La Louvière 2-1 in the opening round of the Jupiler Pro League at Lotto Park, overturning a second-half deficit after having to play the majority of the contest against ten men.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors struck first when M. Isah put RAAL La Louvière ahead in the 54th minute, but their advantage lasted barely five minutes before Joël Ito was sent off in the 59th, leaving the away side to defend a lead with a numerical disadvantage. Anderlecht duly responded through K. Nga, who levelled in the 69th minute after being set up by Ali Maamar.
The hosts pressed for a winner and eventually found it deep into stoppage time, Adriano Bertaccini converting in the 90+2nd minute to complete the turnaround. Anderlecht dominated territory and chances throughout, a reflection of the pressure they exerted even before their opponents were reduced in numbers.
Patrick Nkoa was the highest-rated player on the pitch with a mark of 8.3 despite finishing on the losing side, while Lukáš Ambros and Giulian Biancone both impressed for Anderlecht with ratings of 8.2 and 8.0 respectively.
Anderlecht overwhelmed their opponents territorially, holding 74% of possession over the course of the match.
Anderlecht beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Anderlecht met RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at Lotto Park. Referee: Lawrence Visser.
Team pages: Anderlecht · RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 54' Goal: M. Isah — 0–1
- 59' Red card: Joël Ito
- 69' Goal: K. Nga (assist: Ali Maamar) — 1–1
- 90' Goal: Adriano Bertaccini — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Anderlecht (4-2-3-1)
RAAL La Louvière (5-3-2)
- 21 Marcos Peano (c)
- 5 Thierry Lutonda
- 99 Yllan Okou
- 4 Wagane Faye
- 33 Patrick Nkoa
- 18 Shaquil Delos
- 23 Joël Ito
- 48 Ismaila Coulibaly
- 10 Mame Wade
- 11 M. Isah
- 9 Elias Filet
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Anderlecht 66%, the draw 20%, RAAL La Louvière 14%. It finished Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière.
Anderlecht's rating gap decides it — Anderlecht are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Anderlecht's 66%. The draw at 20% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Anderlecht at 66%?
Anderlecht sit 249 points higher on our strength rating — 1706 to 1457. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,913 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–16–12.
Why only 66%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Anderlecht's column. Across 10,529 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,878. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
RAAL La Louvière average 5 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 249 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Anderlecht scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,745 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière. Explore more on the Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.