Zulte Waregem vs Genk — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 39′Genk, goal:0–1assist
- 42′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 52′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Foul
- 61′Genk, substitution:off
- 64′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 72′Genk, substitution:off
- 72′Genk, substitution:off
- 72′Genk, substitution:off
- 76′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 81′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Zulte Waregem, goal:1–1
- 86′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Zulte Waregem, goal:2–1assist
- 87′Genk, substitution:off
- 90+1′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- 90+2′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Zulte Waregem
Genk
Match report
Zulte Waregem strike twice late to sink Genk in league opener
Zulte Waregem came from behind to beat Genk 2-1 in the opening round of the Jupiler Pro League at Elindus Arena. Rafiu Durosinmi had put the visitors ahead before the interval, but two goals in the closing stages turned the match on its head in front of referee Kevin van Damme.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Genk led at half-time after Durosinmi converted a Junya Ito assist in the 39th minute, giving the away side a 1-0 cushion at the break. Zulte Waregem dominated territory for large spells but needed until the 82nd minute to find a way through, when Marley Aké levelled the score at 1-1.
Four minutes later Serxho Ujka struck, teed up by Anosike Ementa, to make it 2-1 and complete the turnaround. Genk pushed for a response but could not find one, and Zulte Waregem held on to move to five points from position five, while Genk remain without a win after their opening fixture.
Aké scored the equaliser in the 82nd minute and was rated the top performer on the pitch at 8.3, edging out goalscorers Durosinmi and Ujka who both finished on 7.3.
Genk had 62% of the possession but could not convert their control of the ball into a winning result.
Zulte Waregem beat Genk 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Zulte Waregem met Genk in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Elindus Arena. Referee: Kevin van Damme.
Team pages: Zulte Waregem · Genk · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 39' Goal: Rafiu Durosinmi (assist: Junya Ito) — 0–1
- 82' Goal: Marley Aké — 1–1
- 86' Goal: Serxho Ujka (assist: Anosike Ementa) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Zulte Waregem (4-3-2-1)
Genk (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Zulte Waregem 26%, the draw 33%, Genk 41%. It finished Zulte Waregem 2–1 Genk.
Genk's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Genk are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus the early-season home fade on top give Genk the lean. The draw at 33% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Genk at 41%?
Genk sit 195 points higher on our strength rating — 1549 to 1745. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,026 such games. Genk sit -0.91 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,331 such games where the class table expected 36.2%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Zulte Waregem's column. Across 10,529 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–29–43.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 33% and Zulte Waregem at 26%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Zulte Waregem win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,059. The goals environment adds 3.6 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Zulte Waregem have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,125 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Zulte Waregem 1 win, 0 draws, Genk 5 wins. Most recently Zulte Waregem 2–1 Genk, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5564 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Zulte Waregem vs Genk final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Zulte Waregem and Genk team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.