Match Events
- 20′OH Leuven, yellow card:Simulation
- 22′Charleroi, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 24′Charleroi, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 30′OH Leuven, red card:Violent conduct
- 31′Charleroi, yellow card:Argument
- 39′OH Leuven, goal:1–1assist
- 45′OH Leuven, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 47′Charleroi, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 59′Charleroi, goal:2–1
- 64′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 64′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 68′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 70′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 74′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 76′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 76′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 79′Charleroi, goal:3–1assist
- 83′Charleroi, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Charleroi
OH Leuven
Match report
Charleroi see off ten-man OH Leuven to open Jupiler Pro League season
Charleroi began their Jupiler Pro League campaign with a 3-1 win over OH Leuven at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, a contest shaped decisively by a first-half red card. The result lifted Mario Kohnen's side to third in the early table while Felice Mazzu's visitors remain without a point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Parfait Guiagon opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 24th minute, and six minutes later OH Leuven's Abdoul Traoré was sent off, leaving the away side to play the remainder with ten men. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Óscar Gil levelled for OH Leuven in the 39th minute, assisted by Wouter George, and the sides went in level at 1-1 at half-time.
Charleroi took control after the break. Kévin Van Den Kerkhof restored their lead in the 59th minute, and Freddy Situmona Mbemba added a third in the 79th minute, assisted by I. Cisse, to settle the contest. Charleroi dominated territory and chances throughout, finishing with 23 shots to OH Leuven's 12 and a far higher share of possession.
Situmona Mbemba scored Charleroi's third goal and was rated 8.3, while Guiagon's converted penalty and 8.2 rating underlined his influence in the win.
Charleroi's dominance was reflected in their 59% share of possession against OH Leuven's 41%, reduced further after the visitors went down to ten men.
Charleroi beat OH Leuven 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Charleroi met OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Referee: Michiel Allaerts.
Team pages: Charleroi · OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 24' Goal (penalty): Parfait Guiagon — 1–0
- 30' Red card: Abdoul Karim Traoré
- 39' Goal: Óscar Gil (assist: Wouter George) — 1–1
- 59' Goal: Kévin Van Den Kerkhof — 2–1
- 79' Goal: Freddy Mbemba (assist: I. Cisse) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
OH Leuven (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Charleroi 53%, the draw 29%, OH Leuven 18%. It finished Charleroi 3–1 OH Leuven.
Charleroi's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Charleroi are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Charleroi's 53%. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Charleroi at 53%?
Charleroi sit 152 points higher on our strength rating — 1622 to 1471. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,664 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–22–16.
Why only 53%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Charleroi's column. Across 10,529 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the OH Leuven win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,059. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Charleroi's last five: W-W-L-D-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.8% of 2179 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3988 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Charleroi vs OH Leuven final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Charleroi and OH Leuven team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.