Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 30′Union St. Gilloise, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 62′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 63′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 68′Union St. Gilloise, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 71′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 71′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 71′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 71′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 84′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 90+1′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 90+4′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:M. BealeUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 90+4′Zulte Waregem, red card:M. BealeUnsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Player Ratings
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
Match report
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem — the facts
Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Union St. Gilloise met Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stade Joseph Marien. Referee: Lothar D'hondt.
Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 90+4' Red card: M. Beale
Starting line-ups
Union St. Gilloise (3-4-2-1)
Zulte Waregem (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union St. Gilloise 69%, the draw 20%, Zulte Waregem 11%. It finished Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Zulte Waregem.
Union St. Gilloise's rating gap decides it — Union St. Gilloise are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Union St. Gilloise's 69%. The draw at 20% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 69%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 298 points higher on our strength rating — 1940 to 1643. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,926 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–20–10.
Why only 69%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Union St. Gilloise's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,913. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Zulte Waregem have gained 160 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,153 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 27 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,491 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.