RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 6′KV Mechelen, goal:0–1assist
- 13′RAAL La Louvière, goal:1–1assist
- 15′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:
- 17′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 31′KV Mechelen, yellow card:Foul
- 45′RAAL La Louvière, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 46′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 46′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 47′KV Mechelen, goal:2–2
- 73′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 76′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 76′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 80′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 84′KV Mechelen, yellow card:Foul
- 85′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 85′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 89′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
Match report
RAAL La Louvière and Mechelen share four-goal thriller at Easi Arena
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Jupiler Pro League, a result that left both sides still searching for consistency near the bottom of the table. The match, played at Easi Arena and overseen by referee Anthony Letellier, swung twice inside the opening 47 minutes before settling into a tense stalemate.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mechelen struck first when Myron van Brederode converted after six minutes, assisted by Keano Van Rafelghem. RAAL responded quickly through Elias Filet, set up by Marius Courcoul, to level at 1-1 by the 13th minute. Deep into first-half stoppage time, M. Isah put the home side ahead with a goal created by Zsombor Gruber, sending RAAL in front at the break by a score of 2-1.
Mechelen wasted little time reasserting themselves after the interval, with Shina Ayodele restoring parity just two minutes into the second half to make it 2-2. Neither side could find a further breakthrough thereafter, despite Mechelen dominating possession with 66 percent of the ball and outshooting their hosts 16 to 14, seven of those on target.
Gruber earned the night's highest rating of 8.5 despite not scoring himself, setting up Isah's crucial stoppage-time goal before half-time. Filet also impressed with a goal and an 8.2 rating as RAAL's response to falling behind proved decisive in the first half.
Mechelen's 66 percent possession share reflected their control of the ball, though it was not enough to turn territorial dominance into victory.
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2 (half-time 2–1).
RAAL La Louvière met KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Easi Arena. Referee: Anthony Letellier.
Team pages: RAAL La Louvière · KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Myron van Brederode (assist: Keano Vanrafelghem) — 0–1
- 13' Goal: Elias Filet (assist: Marius Courcoul) — 1–1
- 45' Goal: M. Isah (assist: Zsombor Gruber) — 2–1
- 47' Goal: Shina Ayodele — 2–2
Starting line-ups
RAAL La Louvière (3-4-3)
KV Mechelen (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave RAAL La Louvière 32%, the draw 27%, KV Mechelen 41%. It finished RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen.
KV Mechelen's rating edge outweighs RAAL La Louvière's home ground — KV Mechelen are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives KV Mechelen the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why KV Mechelen at 41%?
KV Mechelen sit 102 points higher on our strength rating — 1446 to 1548. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,107 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims RAAL La Louvière's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–25–36.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and RAAL La Louvière at 32%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,023. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
RAAL La Louvière have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last 3 between them: RAAL La Louvière 0 wins, 0 draws, KV Mechelen 3 wins. Most recently RAAL La Louvière 0–2 KV Mechelen, 6 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5593 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.