Gent vs Club Brugge KV — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 16′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Gent, goal:1–0assist
- 40′Club Brugge KV, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Gent, substitution:off
- 51′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- 66′Gent, substitution:off
- 66′Gent, substitution:off
- 66′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 66′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 67′Club Brugge KV, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Club Brugge KV, red card:Violent conduct
- 70′Gent, yellow card:Off the ball foul
- 75′Club Brugge KV, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 82′Gent, substitution:off
- 82′Gent, substitution:off
- 85′Gent, goal:2–1assist
- 86′Club Brugge KV, substitution:off
- 87′Club Brugge KV, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Gent, red card:Violent conduct
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Match report
Late Cisse strike and two red cards decide Gent's win over Club Brugge
Gent beat Club Brugge 2-1 in a Jupiler Pro League round four fixture at Planet Group Arena, a match shaped by two dismissals and a decisive late goal. The result lifted Rik De Mil's side above the visitors in points, though Brugge remained ahead on games played and position in the table context provided.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
J. Y. Vergara Ortega put Gent ahead in the 38th minute, finishing an assist from Tiago Araújo, only for Hans Vanaken to level within two minutes after Carlos Forbs teed him up. The scores stayed level at the break, but the contest turned in the second half when Forbs was sent off in the 70th minute, leaving Brugge to see out the remainder a man short.
Gent made the advantage count in the 85th minute when I. Cisse converted a Matties Volckaert assist to restore the lead at 2-1. Cisse was then dismissed himself deep into stoppage time, in the 90+4th minute, meaning both sides finished with ten men as Gent held on for the win.
Tiago Araújo produced an assist for Vergara Ortega's opener and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 7.9, underlining his influence in Gent's attacking play.
Despite having just 37% of possession, Gent were far more clinical, outshooting Brugge 13 to 8 and racking up 1.38 expected goals to their opponents' 0.65.
Gent beat Club Brugge KV 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Gent met Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Planet Group Arena. Referee: E. Lambrechts.
Team pages: Gent · Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 38' Goal: J. Y. Vergara Ortega (assist: Tiago Araújo) — 1–0
- 40' Goal: Hans Vanaken (assist: Carlos Forbs) — 1–1
- 70' Red card: Carlos Forbs
- 85' Goal: I. Cisse (assist: Matties Volckaert) — 2–1
- 90+4' Red card: I. Cisse
Starting line-ups
Gent (3-4-2-1)
Club Brugge KV (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gent 24%, the draw 28%, Club Brugge KV 48%. It finished Gent 2–1 Club Brugge KV.
Club Brugge KV's rating gap, but the draw is in play — Club Brugge KV are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Club Brugge KV the lean. The draw at 28% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Club Brugge KV at 48%?
Club Brugge KV sit 230 points higher on our strength rating — 1696 to 1926. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,053 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Gent's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–21–51.
Why only 48%?
Gent sit -0.74 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,405 such games where the class table expected 36.3%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Gent win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,699. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Club Brugge KV average 11 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 230 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Club Brugge KV scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,810 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gent vs Club Brugge KV final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Gent and Club Brugge KV team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.