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Southampton vs 12.09.26 14:004 – 1Full Time
Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Southampton eased to a 4-1 win over Bristol City in a Championship round 7 fixture, moving Tonda Eckert's side up to second in the table with 14 points from seven games. Bristol City, sitting tenth after six matches, were unable to build on a run of three straight wins earlier in the season.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cyle Larin opened the scoring in the 38th minute, finishing an assist from Finn Azaz to give the hosts a half-time lead. Larin doubled his tally in the 61st minute before Lorent Tolaj pulled one back for Bristol City four minutes later, converting a Rio Cardines assist to make it 2-1.
Southampton pulled away in the closing stages. Kuryu Matsuki restored the two-goal cushion in the 82nd minute, teed up again by Azaz, and Azaz himself completed the scoring three minutes later with Divin Mubama supplying the assist, sealing a 4-1 victory.
Larin scored twice to lead Southampton's attack, while Azaz contributed a goal and two assists in a highly influential display.
Southampton had 21 shots to Bristol City's 10, underlining their dominance in front of goal.
Southampton beat Bristol City 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Southampton met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Sam Allison.
Team pages: Southampton · Bristol City · Championship
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 66%, the draw 21%, Bristol City 13%. It finished Southampton 4–1 Bristol City.
Southampton's rating gap decides it — Southampton are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Southampton's 66%. The draw at 21% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Southampton sit 205 points higher on our strength rating — 1689 to 1485. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,992 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–16–15.
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,425 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,048. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
Southampton average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 205 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Southampton scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,853 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Southampton vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 4–1 Bristol City. Explore more on the Southampton and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.
Southampton beat Bristol City 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Cyle Larin (38') for Southampton; Cyle Larin (61') for Southampton; Lorent Tolaj (66') for Bristol City; Kuryu Matsuki (82') for Southampton; Finn Azaz (85') for Southampton.
Goal highlights and video clips from Southampton 4–1 Bristol City are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Southampton and Bristol City have met 6 times — 1 win for Southampton, 4 wins for Bristol City and 1 draw.