Southampton vs Portsmouth — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 20′Southampton, goal:1–0assist
- 32′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- 34′Portsmouth, yellow card:Argument
- 44′Southampton, second yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 51′Southampton, yellow card:Argument
- 53′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- 53′Portsmouth, yellow card:Argument
- 57′Southampton, substitution:off
- 65′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 65′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 65′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 69′Portsmouth, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Southampton, substitution:off
- 77′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 82′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Southampton
Portsmouth
Match report
Southampton edge Portsmouth 1-0 despite first-half red card
Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 at St. Mary's Stadium on Matchday 9 of the Championship, a single first-half goal from James Bree proving enough even though the hosts played the final 46 minutes or so a man down. The win lifted Tonda Eckert's side from fifth to third, while John Mousinho's Portsmouth stayed 19th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal arrived in the 20th minute. Finn Azaz supplied the assist and Bree finished to make it 1-0. Southampton held that lead into the interval, but their afternoon grew harder in the 44th minute when Cameron Bragg was sent off, leaving the hosts to defend their advantage with ten men for the entire second half.
Portsmouth had the greater share of the attempts, finishing with 15 shots to Southampton's seven, yet only two of those tested the goalkeeper, against three on target for the hosts. The result took Southampton to 17 points from nine games, while Portsmouth remained on eight points from eight after failing to find an equaliser.
Bree scored the winning goal in the 20th minute and was the top-rated performer on the pitch with 8.08. Ryan Manning followed with 7.92 for the hosts.
Portsmouth outshot Southampton by 15 shots to seven but could not turn that pressure into a goal.
Southampton beat Portsmouth 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Southampton met Portsmouth in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 11:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Team pages: Southampton · Portsmouth · Championship
Key moments
- 20' Goal: James Bree (assist: Finn Azaz) — 1–0
- 44' Red card: Cameron Bragg
Starting line-ups
Southampton (4-4-2)
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 67%, the draw 18%, Portsmouth 15%. It finished Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth.
Southampton's rating gap decides it — Southampton are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Southampton's 67%. The draw at 18% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Southampton at 67%?
Southampton sit 199 points higher on our strength rating — 1577 to 1378. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,567 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–18–14.
Why only 67%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,461 games vs 44.6% across all 101,096 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,880. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Southampton have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Portsmouth in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Southampton vs Portsmouth final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth. Explore more on the Southampton and Portsmouth team pages or the Championship page.