HighlightsCardiff City FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 28′Blackburn, goal:1–0
- 38′Blackburn, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 53′Cardiff, goal:2–1assist
- 60′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 64′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 64′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 71′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 71′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 74′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 78′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 79′Cardiff, substitution:off
- 83′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 90+6′Blackburn, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Blackburn
Cardiff
Match report
Blackburn hold off Cardiff fightback to win 2-1 at Ewood Park
Blackburn beat Cardiff 2-1 at Ewood Park in a Championship Matchday 9 fixture, taking a two-goal lead before the interval and then withstanding a second-half response from the visitors. The result moved Tony Mowbray's side to 12 points from nine games, while Cardiff stayed on seven.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Andri Guðjohnsen opened the scoring in the 28th minute to make it 1-0. Ten minutes later Todd Cantwell added a second, set up by Ryoya Morishita, and Blackburn went in at half-time 2-0 ahead.
Cardiff, managed by B. Barry-Murphy, pulled one back in the 53rd minute when Callum Robinson scored from a Jack Moylan assist. That was the final goal of the match, and Blackburn held on for the win despite the visitors seeing more of the ball.
Cardiff had 58 per cent of possession, yet Blackburn were the more incisive side, finishing with 17 shots to 10 and eight on target to one. Blackburn also won 11 corners to six, and Tom Nield's only bookings were a single yellow card for the hosts.
Todd Cantwell scored Blackburn's second goal in the 38th minute after Ryoya Morishita's assist, and his rating of 8.2 was the highest of any player in the match.
Blackburn managed eight shots on target to Cardiff's one, despite the visitors holding 58 per cent of possession.
Blackburn beat Cardiff 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Blackburn met Cardiff in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Ewood Park. Referee: Tom Nield.
Team pages: Blackburn · Cardiff · Championship
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Andri Guðjohnsen — 1–0 · Watch Andri Guðjohnsen's goal video (28')
- 38' Goal: Todd Cantwell (assist: Ryoya Morishita) — 2–0 · Watch Todd Cantwell's goal video (38')
- 53' Goal: Callum Robinson (assist: Jack Moylan) — 2–1 · Watch Callum Robinson's goal video (53')
Starting line-ups
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
Cardiff (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Nathan Trott
- 3 Joel Bagan
- 4 Gabriel Osho
- 48 Dylan Lawlor
- 38 Perry Ng (c)
- 8 Jack Moylan
- 18 Alex Robertson
- 45 Cian Ashford
- 27 Joel Colwill
- 11 Ollie Tanner
- 47 Callum Robinson
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Blackburn 42%, the draw 28%, Cardiff 30%. It finished Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff.
Blackburn lead despite Cardiff's cold finishing due to recover — Blackburn are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Blackburn's 42%. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Blackburn at 42%?
Blackburn sit 65 points higher on our strength rating — 1396 to 1331. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.2% of 10,378 such games.
Why only 42%?
Cardiff sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.7% of 1,357 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Cardiff hold 11 more possession points (64 to 53 in recent games) across a 65-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,609 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Cardiff are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Blackburn won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Cardiff. The record is 4 wins for Blackburn, 1 draw and 1 win for Cardiff. These were 5 Championship games and 1 League Cup game played at both grounds between 1 January 2023 and 15 March 2025. Latest meeting: 15 March 2025 — Blackburn 1–2 Cardiff. Blackburn lead the 6-match record, although Cardiff won the latest encounter. In 5,175 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Blackburn vs Cardiff final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Andri Guðjohnsen's goal against Cardiff (28').
- Watch Todd Cantwell's goal against Cardiff (38').
- Watch Callum Robinson's goal against Blackburn (53').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Blackburn 2–1 Cardiff. Explore more on the Blackburn and Cardiff team pages or the Championship page.