Portsmouth vs Swansea — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSwansea City AFCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 21′Portsmouth, yellow card:Foul
- 24′Swansea, substitution:off
- 36′Portsmouth, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Swansea, substitution:off
- 54′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 61′Swansea, substitution:off
- 73′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 73′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 73′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 74′Swansea, substitution:off
- 74′Swansea, substitution:off
- 81′Portsmouth, substitution:off
- 83′Portsmouth, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Swansea, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 89′Swansea, yellow card:Vitor MatosDissent
- 90+2′Portsmouth, goal:2–1
- 90+8′Portsmouth, goal:3–1
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
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Player Ratings
Portsmouth
Swansea
Match report
Portsmouth score twice in stoppage time to beat Swansea 3-1
Portsmouth beat Swansea 3-1 at Fratton Park in the Championship on matchday 14, scoring twice in stoppage time to turn a level game into a comfortable home win. Swansea, who had controlled most of the ball, had drawn level from the penalty spot only five minutes earlier.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Terry Devlin gave the home side the lead in the 36th minute, finishing from an Odin Bailey assist, and Portsmouth took that 1-0 advantage into the interval. Swansea pressed after the break and found their equaliser in the 85th minute when Žan Vipotnik converted a penalty to make it 1-1.
The late drama belonged to Portsmouth. Devlin struck again in the 90+2 minute to restore the lead, and Thomas Waddingham added a third in the 90+8 minute to settle the contest. The result lifted Portsmouth from 11th to 10th on 22 points, while Swansea stayed fourth on 26, four points ahead of their opponents.
Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 7 November, the same day Swansea travel to Birmingham in the same competition.
Devlin scored twice, opening the scoring before the break and then restoring Portsmouth's lead in the 90+2 minute, and finished with a rating of 7.69. Vipotnik's penalty earned the visitors a short-lived equaliser and a rating of 7.8, the highest of the three listed performers.
Swansea held 64% of possession, yet Portsmouth were the side that won the match, finishing with 13 shots to 9.
Portsmouth beat Swansea 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
Portsmouth met Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off was Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Fratton Park. Referee: Matthew Corlett.
Team pages: Portsmouth · Swansea · Championship
Key moments
- 36' Goal: Terry Devlin (assist: Odin Bailey) — 1–0 · Watch Terry Devlin's goal video (36')
- 85' Goal (penalty): Žan Vipotnik — 1–1 · Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal video (85')
- 90+2' Goal: Terry Devlin — 2–1 · Watch Terry Devlin's goal video (90+2')
- 90+8' Goal: Thomas Waddingham — 3–1 · Watch Thomas Waddingham's goal video (90+8')
Starting line-ups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
Swansea (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portsmouth 32%, the draw 33%, Swansea 35%. It finished Portsmouth 3–1 Swansea.
Swansea's stronger rating gives a slight lean, draw live — We give Swansea 35% mainly because our strength rating has them 56 points higher, 1482 to 1426, and their habit of controlling the ball adds a little more. The draw sits at 33%, up from a usual 29% for a gap this size, raised by the Championship's high draw rate, Swansea's control of the ball and both sides' typical scoring.
Why Swansea at 35%?
Swansea sit 56 points higher on our strength rating — 1482 to 1426. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,148 such games. Swansea hold 10 more possession points (60 to 50 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,950 games, from 44.1% when styles were level. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,511 games vs 44.6% across all 108,367 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 42–29–29.
Why only 35%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 35% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 33% and Portsmouth at 32%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Portsmouth win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,383. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Moussa Yeo and Cameron Burgess, important players. Doubtful: Stephen Eustáquio, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Swansea won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Portsmouth. The record is 2 wins for Swansea, 1 draw and 1 win for Portsmouth. These were 4 Championship games played at both grounds between 30 November 2024 and 10 March 2026. Latest meeting: 10 March 2026 — Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea. In 6,109 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portsmouth vs Swansea final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Terry Devlin's goal against Swansea (36').
- Watch Žan Vipotnik's goal against Portsmouth (85').
- Watch Terry Devlin's goal against Swansea (90+2').
- Watch Thomas Waddingham's goal against Swansea (90+8').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Portsmouth 3–1 Swansea. Explore more on the Portsmouth and Swansea team pages or the Championship page.