Match report
Almeria come from behind to sink Burgos with late double
Almeria overturned a half-time deficit to beat Burgos 2-1 at UD Almería Stadium in a Segunda División round 8 fixture, moving to third in the table while Burgos stayed fourth. A three-goal contest that looked set to go Burgos's way after the opening period swung decisively in the final quarter of an hour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jon Karrikaburu put Burgos ahead in the 40th minute, converting a Javi Llabrés assist to send the visitors in 1-0 up at the break despite having seen far less of the ball. Almeria dominated territory throughout but needed until the 77th minute to find a leveller, Brian Cipenga finishing from a Sergio Arribas assist to make it 1-1.
Seven minutes later Miguel de la Fuente turned the game on its head, putting Almeria 2-1 ahead in the 84th minute and securing the points. Almeria's control of possession, at 69 percent, and a far greater shot count eventually told, even though Burgos had led for much of the match following their first-half breakthrough.
Cipenga scored the equaliser and finished with a rating of 8.01, the highest of any player on the pitch, as Almeria's response after the break proved decisive.
Almeria's 25 shots to Burgos's 9 underlined their territorial dominance despite trailing for much of the game.
Almeria beat Burgos 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Almeria met Burgos in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 3 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at UD Almería Stadium. Referee: Iosu Galech.
Team pages: Almeria · Burgos · Segunda División
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Jon Karrikaburu (assist: Javi Llabrés) — 0–1
- 77' Goal: Brian Cipenga (assist: Sergio Arribas) — 1–1
- 84' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Almeria (4-3-3)
- 1 Andrés Fernández
- 15 Leonardo Lelo
- 18 Federico Bonini
- 21 Chumi (c)
- 2 Marcos Luna
- 14 Javi Muñoz
- 6 Mikel Vesga
- 11 Sergio Arribas
- 17 Brian Cipenga
- 9 Thalys
- 12 Léo Baptistão
Burgos (4-2-3-1)
- 13 Ander Cantero
- 22 Brais Martínez
- 18 Saúl del Cerro
- 15 Oier Luengo
- 23 Alberto Dadie
- 12 Unai Vencedor
- 20 José Gragera
- 19 Javi Llabrés
- 16 Curro Sánchez (c)
- 14 David González
- 7 Jon Karrikaburu
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Almeria 51%, the draw 28%, Burgos 21%. It finished Almeria 2–1 Burgos.
Level sides, Almeria's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Almeria's control of the ball plus Burgos' hot finishing due to cool give Almeria the lean. The draw at 28% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Almeria in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1575 to 1560. Sides this close won 46.0% of 13,627 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). Almeria hold 6 more possession points (51 to 45 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,118 games, vs 43.9% when styles were level. Burgos scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 26.9% of 1,429 games, vs 27.7% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Burgos at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Burgos win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,719. The goals environment adds 3.1 points to the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Burgos are 2 games into a new manager (Sergio Francisco), appointed 12 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Almeria vs Burgos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Almeria 2–1 Burgos. Explore more on the Almeria and Burgos team pages or the Segunda División page.