Sporting Gijon vs 04.10.26 14:153 – 2Full Time
Celta de Vigo II — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Sporting Gijon hold off Celta de Vigo II fightback to win 3-2
Sporting Gijon came from behind to beat Celta de Vigo II 3-2 at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini in a Segunda División Regular Season - 8 fixture that produced five goals. The home side trailed early but turned the match around before half-time to take control.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
O. Marcos put the visitors ahead in the eighth minute, finishing from Celta de Vigo II's early pressure. Antonio Casas levelled for Sporting Gijon in the 33rd minute, and deep into first-half stoppage time Celta de Vigo II were reduced to ten men when P. Meixus was sent off. Casas struck again moments later, in the 45+11th minute, to send Sporting Gijon in 2-1 up at the break.
The hosts extended their lead shortly after the hour when Guille Rosas converted an assist from Diego Matabuena Álvarez to make it 3-1. Celta de Vigo II, despite their numerical disadvantage, pulled a goal back through A. Kibet in the 78th minute, assisted by A. Marin, but could not find a leveller as Sporting Gijon held on for the win.
Antonio Casas scored twice, including a crucial strike deep into first-half stoppage time, to finish as the top-rated player on the pitch with a 9.27 rating.
Despite having a man sent off, Celta de Vigo II held 55% of the possession to Sporting Gijon's 45%.
Sporting Gijon beat Celta de Vigo II 3–2 (half-time 2–1).
Sporting Gijon met Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 4 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. Referee: Germán Cid.
Team pages: Sporting Gijon · Celta de Vigo II · Segunda División
Key moments
- 8' Goal: O. Marcos — 0–1
- 33' Goal: Antonio Casas — 1–1
- 45+9' Red card: P. Meixus
- 45+11' Goal: Antonio Casas — 2–1
- 59' Goal: Guille Rosas (assist: Diego Matabuena Álvarez) — 3–1
- 78' Goal: A. Kibet (assist: A. Marin) — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Sporting Gijon (3-4-3)
Celta de Vigo II (3-4-3)
- 1 Coke Carrillo
- 20 A. Rodriguez
- 3 K. Ribes
- 2 P. Gavian
- 18 Joel López
- 6 P. Meixus
- 16 Adrià Capdevila
- 23 G. Miller
- 10 O. Marcos
- 9 A. Marin
- 15 A. Kibet
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sporting Gijon 49%, the draw 28%, Celta de Vigo II 23%. It finished Sporting Gijon 3–2 Celta de Vigo II.
Sporting Gijon's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Sporting Gijon are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Sporting Gijon's 49%. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Sporting Gijon at 49%?
Sporting Gijon sit 42 points higher on our strength rating — 1486 to 1444. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 10,334 such games.
Why only 49%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 49% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Celta de Vigo II at 23%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Celta de Vigo II win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,255. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Celta de Vigo II are newly promoted — game 8 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Sporting Gijon are 1 game into a new manager (N. Larcamón), appointed 6 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sporting Gijon 3–2 Celta de Vigo II. Explore more on the Sporting Gijon and Celta de Vigo II team pages or the Segunda División page.