Match report
Nancy snatch late win at Annecy through Casadei own goal
Nancy won 2-1 away at Annecy in Ligue 2 on Matchday 9 at the Parc des Sports d'Annecy, a result decided by an own goal from Alexis Casadei in the 89th minute. The visitors had led through a first-half penalty and then had to recover after the home side drew level.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ilyes Housni converted from the spot in the 41st minute to put Nancy 1-0 ahead, and that was the score at the break. Annecy responded after the restart, Moïse Sahi finishing in the 59th minute with Antoine Larose providing the assist to make it 1-1.
The match looked to be heading for a draw until Casadei diverted the ball into his own net late on, giving Nancy the lead for good. The visitors had been the more threatening side throughout, with 14 shots to 7, five on target to Annecy's three, and 1.83 expected goals to 0.44.
The win lifted Nancy from fifth to fourth, on 16 points, while Annecy stayed on 13 points but slipped from sixth to seventh. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Nancy a 20% chance of winning. Both sides are in action again on Friday 23 October in Ligue 2: Nancy are at home to Laval, and Annecy travel to Sochaux.
Moïse Sahi was Annecy's top-rated performer at 7.57, scoring the equaliser in the 59th minute. Elydjah Mendy was Nancy's best-rated player with a 7.3.
Nancy had 14 shots to Annecy's 7, reflecting their territorial and attacking edge across the 90 minutes.
Nancy won 2–1 away against Annecy (half-time 0–1).
Annecy met Nancy in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Parc des Sports d’Annecy. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.
Key moments
- 41' Goal (penalty): Ilyes Housni — 0–1 · Watch Ilyes Housni's goal video (41')
- 59' Goal: Moïse Sahi (assist: Antoine Larose) — 1–1 · Watch Moïse Sahi's goal video (59')
- 89' Goal (own goal): Alexis Casadei — 1–2 · Watch Alexis Casadei's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Annecy (4-2-3-1)
Nancy (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Annecy 53%, the draw 27%, Nancy 20%. It finished Annecy 1–2 Nancy.
Annecy's higher rating gives them a slight lean — We give Annecy 53% mainly because they sit 96 points higher on our strength rating, 1525 to 1429, though Nancy's habit of controlling the ball, with 51% possession to 46% in recent games, pulls a little the other way. The draw sits at 27%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged up because both sides' recent games average 2.5 goals.
Why Annecy at 53%?
Annecy sit 96 points higher on our strength rating — 1525 to 1429. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,355 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–31–17.
Why only 53%?
Nancy hold 5 more possession points (51 to 46 in recent games) across a 96-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,638 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Nancy win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,336. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nancy have gained 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,201 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Nancy come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals and 14 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Annecy vs Nancy final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ilyes Housni's goal against Annecy (41').
- Watch Moïse Sahi's goal against Nancy (59').
- Watch Alexis Casadei's own goal video (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Annecy 1–2 Nancy. Explore more on the Annecy and Nancy team pages or the Ligue 2 page.