Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 9′Torino, goal:1–0assist
- 39′Carrarese, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 64′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 64′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 68′Torino, substitution:off
- 68′Torino, substitution:off
- 76′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 76′Carrarese, substitution:G. Baroncellioff
- 78′Torino, substitution:off
- 81′Carrarese, second yellow card:Foul
- 82′Carrarese, substitution:off
- 90+3′Torino, substitution:off
- 90+3′Torino, substitution:A. Luongooff
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Torino
Carrarese
Match report
Torino vs Carrarese — the facts
Torino beat Carrarese 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Torino met Carrarese in the Coppa Italia (Round of 64). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 19:15 UTC at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. Referee: Paride Tremolada.
Team pages: Torino · Carrarese · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Giovanni Simeone (assist: Marcus Pedersen) — 1–0 · Watch Giovanni Simeone's goal video (9')
- 81' Red card: Filippo Oliana
Starting line-ups
Torino (3-4-2-1)
Carrarese (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Torino 68%, the draw 21%, Carrarese 11%. It finished Torino 1–0 Carrarese.
Torino's rating gap decides it — Torino are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Torino's 68%. The draw at 21% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Torino at 68%?
Torino sit 299 points higher on our strength rating — 1718 to 1419. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,926 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–19–11.
Why only 68%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 68% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Carrarese at 11%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,561. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Carrarese average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 299 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Torino vs Carrarese final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Torino 1–0 Carrarese. Explore more on the Torino and Carrarese team pages or the Coppa Italia page.