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VfB Stuttgart vs 04.09.26 18:304 – 1Full Time
1. FC Köln — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
VfB Stuttgart claimed a 4-1 win over 1. FC Köln in matchday 2 of the Bundesliga, played at MHPArena. The home side controlled proceedings from early on and had the game largely settled before Köln found any response late in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bilal El Khannouss opened the scoring in the 39th minute, finishing off a Josha Vagnoman assist to send Stuttgart in ahead at half-time. The hosts extended their lead shortly after the break when Grischa Prömel converted a Maximilian Mittelstädt pass in the 60th minute, before Ermedin Demirović added a third in the 75th minute, teed up by Finn Jeltsch.
Marius Bülter pulled one back for Köln in the 81st minute, but any hope of a comeback was snuffed out almost immediately as Vagnoman struck again in the 90th minute to complete the scoring at 4-1. Stuttgart finished with 22 shots to Köln's 18 and dominated possession throughout.
Vagnoman had a hand in three of Stuttgart's four goals, scoring once and setting up El Khannouss's opener, earning the highest rating on the pitch at 8.35.
Stuttgart's 58% share of possession underlined their control over the contest from start to finish.
VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
VfB Stuttgart met 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Friday, 4 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at MHPArena. Referee: Christian Dingert.
Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfB Stuttgart 69%, the draw 19%, 1. FC Köln 12%. It finished VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln.
VfB Stuttgart's rating gap decides it — VfB Stuttgart are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of VfB Stuttgart's 69%. The draw at 19% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
VfB Stuttgart sit 257 points higher on our strength rating — 1967 to 1710. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,972 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–18–12.
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims VfB Stuttgart's column. Across 10,893 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.7%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,064. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
VfB Stuttgart average 5 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 257 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. 1. FC Köln come into this after a busy window — 31 arrivals and 27 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln. Explore more on the VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln team pages or the Bundesliga page.
VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Bilal El Khannouss (39') for VfB Stuttgart; Grischa Prömel (60') for VfB Stuttgart; Ermedin Demirović (75') for VfB Stuttgart; Marius Bülter (81') for 1. FC Köln; Josha Vagnoman (90') for VfB Stuttgart.
Goal highlights and video clips from VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln have met 10 times — 6 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 2 wins for 1. FC Köln and 2 draws.