Match report
Olzer double sends Modena top with rout of Cremonese
Modena thrashed Cremonese 3-0 at the Stadio Giovanni Zini in a Serie B round two fixture, moving to the summit of the table while their hosts remain without a point. The visitors were ruthless in front of goal, converting three of their opportunities across the match.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Giacomo Olzer opened the scoring in the 31st minute, finishing off an assist from Gastón Brugman, before doubling his tally right on the stroke of half-time with Giuseppe Ambrosino supplying the second assist. Cremonese went into the break already 0-2 down and never recovered their footing. Ten minutes into the second half, Giuseppe Caso added a third, again teed up by Ambrosino, to put the result beyond doubt.
Despite a fairly even share of possession, with Cremonese holding 51% to Modena's 49%, it was the away side who made their spells of pressure count. Modena registered 10 shots to Cremonese's 7 and led 0.58 to 0.37 in expected goals, figures that reflected their greater efficiency on the day.
Giacomo Olzer scored twice, including a crucial second just before half-time, and was rated the outstanding performer of the match at 8.3.
Modena outshot Cremonese 10 to 7, underlining their greater threat in front of goal despite having less of the ball.
Modena won 3–0 away against Cremonese (half-time 0–2).
Cremonese met Modena in the Serie B (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Friday, 28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Referee: Antonio Rapuano.
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Giacomo Olzer (assist: Gastón Brugman) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: Giacomo Olzer (assist: Giuseppe Ambrosino) — 0–2
- 55' Goal: Giuseppe Caso (assist: Giuseppe Ambrosino) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Cremonese (3-5-2)
Modena (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cremonese 51%, the draw 35%, Modena 14%. It finished Cremonese 0–3 Modena.
Cremonese's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Cremonese are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Cremonese's 51%. The draw at 35% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Cremonese at 51%?
Cremonese sit 168 points higher on our strength rating — 1629 to 1461. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,747 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–22–16.
Why only 51%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,022 games vs 44.9% across all 99,436 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Cremonese's column. Across 10,741 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Modena win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,674. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 5 between them: Cremonese 3 wins, 2 draws, Modena 0 wins. Most recently Cremonese 2–2 Modena, 2 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5060 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cremonese vs Modena final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Cremonese and Modena team pages or the Serie B page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Cremonese vs Modena?
Modena won 3–0 away against Cremonese (half-time 0–2).
›Who scored in Cremonese vs Modena?
Giacomo Olzer (31') for Modena; Giacomo Olzer (45') for Modena; Giuseppe Caso (55') for Modena.
›Where can I watch Cremonese vs Modena highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Cremonese vs Modena; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Cremonese and Modena?
Cremonese and Modena have met 5 times — 3 wins for Cremonese, 0 wins for Modena and 2 draws.