HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Cesena, red card:Alessandro DiamantiAbusive language
- Half-time
- 46′Cesena, substitution:off
- 51′Cesena, goal:1–0assist
- 57′Avellino, substitution:off
- 57′Avellino, substitution:off
- 64′Cesena, substitution:off
- 65′Cesena, substitution:off
- 67′Avellino, goal:1–1
- 73′Avellino, substitution:off
- 77′Cesena, substitution:off
- 83′Cesena, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Avellino, substitution:off
- 84′Avellino, substitution:off
- 84′Cesena, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Cesena
Avellino
Match report
Ten-man Cesena hold Avellino to 1-1 draw at Dino Manuzzi
Cesena and Avellino shared a 1-1 draw in Serie B on Matchday 7 at the Dino Manuzzi, with the hosts holding out for a point despite playing the entire second half with ten men. Cesena's player-manager Alessandro Diamanti was sent off in the 45th minute, with the score still 0-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cesena responded to the dismissal by taking the lead six minutes after the interval. Cristian Shpendi supplied the assist and Antonio Fiori finished in the 51st minute to make it 1-0. Avellino, coached by Alessandro Nesta, had to wait until the 67th minute for their reply, when Armando Izzo scored to level the match at 1-1.
Avellino held 62 per cent of possession and had 20 shots to Cesena's 18, but only four of those were on target against six for the hosts. Neither side found a winner. The point left Cesena 12th on 8 points, while Avellino moved up to 7th on 11 points. Both sides play again on Saturday 24 October: Cesena travel to Modena and Avellino host Padova, both in Serie B.
Armando Izzo earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.56, for the equalising goal that rescued a point for Avellino. Antonio Fiori, who scored Cesena's opener, was rated 7.96.
Avellino had 62 per cent of the possession against Cesena's 38 per cent, yet could not turn that control into a win against ten men.
Cesena and Avellino drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Cesena met Avellino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at Dino Manuzzi. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.
Key moments
- 45' Red card: Alessandro Diamanti
- 51' Goal: Antonio Fiori (assist: Cristian Shpendi) — 1–0
- 67' Goal: Armando Izzo — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Cesena (4-2-3-1)
Avellino (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cesena 34%, the draw 38%, Avellino 28%. It finished Cesena 1–1 Avellino.
Home advantage edges Cesena ahead, draw likeliest — Cesena lead only through the usual home advantage, since our strength rating has Avellino 51 points higher and Serie B home sides tend to under-perform, both pulling towards Avellino. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size and rises to 38%, mainly because draws are common in Serie B.
Why Cesena at 34%?
Home ground, against the rating. Avellino sit 51 points higher on our strength rating — 1384 to 1333. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,409 such games.
Why only 34%?
Because Avellino are the stronger side on our strength rating. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,079 games vs 44.6% across all 101,389 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.6 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cesena have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Cesena won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Avellino. The record is 3 wins for Cesena, 2 draws and 1 win for Avellino. These were 6 Serie B games played between 26 November 2016 and 31 January 2026. Latest meeting: 31 January 2026 — Avellino 3–1 Cesena. Cesena lead the 6-match record, although Avellino won the latest encounter. In 5,188 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cesena vs Avellino final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cesena 1–1 Avellino. Explore more on the Cesena and Avellino team pages or the Serie B page.