HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 28′Padova, own goal:1–0Stefano Di MarioOwn goal
- Half-time1 – 0
- 54′Virtus Entella, goal:1–1
- 57′Padova, substitution:off
- 57′Padova, substitution:off
- 68′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 68′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 71′Padova, substitution:off
- 71′Padova, substitution:off
- 74′Padova, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 76′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 80′Padova, substitution:off
- 84′Virtus Entella, goal:1–2assist
- 90+2′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 90+4′Virtus Entella, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
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Padova
Virtus Entella
Match report
Virtus Entella come from behind to beat Padova 2-1
Virtus Entella won 2-1 away at Padova at Stadio Comunale Euganeo in Serie B on Matchday 7, coming from a goal down to claim the points. The hosts took a half-time lead through an own goal by Stefano Di Mario in the 28th minute, but they managed only one shot on target all afternoon.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Entella levelled in the 54th minute, when Andrea Tiritiello scored to make it 1-1. The visitors, who had 17 shots to Padova's 6, then pressed for a winner and found it in the 84th minute. Luca Vignali provided the assist for Bernat Guiu, who finished to make it 2-1.
The defeat was Padova's third in a row and left them 14th on seven points, down from 11th at kick-off. Entella climbed from 13th to ninth on nine points. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Virtus Entella a 28% chance of winning. Both sides play on Saturday 24 October: Padova are away to Avellino, while Entella host Mantova in Serie B.
Bernat Guiu scored the 84th-minute winner and was the top-rated performer on 7.69. T. Annoni (7.6) and M. Alborghetti (7.25) also rated highly for Entella.
Entella put seven of their 17 shots on target, against Padova's one from six.
Virtus Entella won 2–1 away against Padova (half-time 1–0).
Padova met Virtus Entella in the Serie B (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Referee: Dario Madonia.
Team pages: Padova · Virtus Entella · Serie B
Key moments
- 28' Goal (own goal): Stefano Di Mario — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Andrea Tiritiello — 1–1
- 84' Goal: Bernat Guiu (assist: Luca Vignali) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Padova (3-5-2)
Virtus Entella (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Padova 35%, the draw 37%, Virtus Entella 28%. It finished Padova 1–2 Virtus Entella.
Home advantage edges Padova in a draw-heavy contest — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Padova's usual home advantage gives them a slight lean at 35%, though Virtus Entella's greater share of the ball pulls the other way. The draw is the likeliest single result at 37%, rising from 27% mainly because draws come up more often in Serie B.
Why Padova in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1324 to 1351. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,828 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 35%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Virtus Entella hold 8 more possession points (52 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,486 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,073 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,340. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Padova have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Padova are 1 game into a new manager (N. Calabro), appointed 5 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Padova vs Virtus Entella final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Padova 1–2 Virtus Entella. Explore more on the Padova and Virtus Entella team pages or the Serie B page.