Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLega BYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′Catanzaro, goal:0–1assist
- 37′Hellas Verona, goal:1–1assist
- 41′Hellas Verona, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 62′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 63′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 67′Hellas Verona, goal:2–1assist
- 71′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 71′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 72′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 75′Catanzaro, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- 76′Catanzaro, yellow card:Time wasting
- 78′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 78′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 78′Hellas Verona, substitution:off
- 86′Catanzaro, substitution:off
- 90+1′Catanzaro, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Hellas Verona
Catanzaro
Match report
Hellas Verona denied by late Catanzaro penalty in 2-2 draw
Hellas Verona and Catanzaro drew 2-2 in Serie B on Matchday 7 at the Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, with Emanuele Pecorino's penalty in the 75th minute earning the visitors a point after Daniel Mosquera's second goal had put the hosts in front.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Catanzaro struck first, Antonio Candela scoring in the 11th minute from Marco Imperiale's assist. Verona drew level in the 37th minute when Mosquera finished a chance created by Dailon Livramento, and the sides went in at 1-1.
Mosquera added his second in the 67th minute, again from an assist, this time by Amin Sarr, to make it 2-1. Catanzaro's equaliser arrived eight minutes later from the penalty spot, and neither side found a winner. Nobody was sent off.
The result left Verona ninth with eight points and Catanzaro 19th with four. Catanzaro host Ascoli in Serie B on Saturday 24 October, while Verona entertain Pisa on Sunday 25 October.
Daniel Mosquera scored both of Verona's goals, in the 37th and 67th minutes, and was the top-rated player in the match with a rating of 9.83.
Verona had 25 shots to Catanzaro's 7 and won 13 corners to none, yet could not hold on to their lead.
Hellas Verona and Catanzaro drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Hellas Verona met Catanzaro in the Serie B (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:30 UTC at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Referee: Mario Perri.
Team pages: Hellas Verona · Catanzaro · Serie B
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Antonio Candela (assist: Marco Imperiale) — 0–1
- 37' Goal: Daniel Mosquera (assist: Dailon Livramento) — 1–1
- 67' Goal: Daniel Mosquera (assist: Amin Sarr) — 2–1
- 75' Goal (penalty): Emanuele Pecorino — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Hellas Verona (4-3-3)
Catanzaro (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hellas Verona 45%, the draw 34%, Catanzaro 21%. It finished Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro.
Verona's rating edge, with a live draw — Hellas Verona sit 69 points higher on our strength rating, 1464 to 1395, which is why we give them 45%, though home advantage runs weak across Serie B and trims their edge. The draw starts at 27% for a gap this size and rises to 34% because draws are common in Serie B.
Why Hellas Verona at 45%?
Hellas Verona sit 69 points higher on our strength rating — 1464 to 1395. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,394 such games.
Why only 45%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,072 games vs 44.6% across all 101,242 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Catanzaro hold 9 more possession points (57 to 48 in recent games) across a 69-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,638 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Catanzaro win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,191. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Hellas Verona sit -0.38 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Catanzaro have shed 82 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,606 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hellas Verona 2–2 Catanzaro. Explore more on the Hellas Verona and Catanzaro team pages or the Serie B page.