Celje vs 15.10.26 16:450 – 3Full Time
Omonia Nicosia — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Omonia Nicosia beat Celje 3-0 in Europa League
Omonia Nicosia won 3-0 away to Celje at Stadion Z\u2019dežele in the second matchday of the UEFA Europa League league stage. Henning Berg's side scored once in each of the first half, the hour mark and the closing minutes, and left with a comfortable victory despite having had less of the ball.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jaden Montnor opened the scoring in the 16th minute, finishing from Ewandro's assist, and the visitors held that lead at the break. Celje had the greater share of possession but could not turn it into a way back into the match, and Omonia's advantage was doubled in the 59th minute when Muamer Tankovic scored from Jean-Kévin Duverne's pass.
Senou Coulibaly completed the scoring in the 84th minute, set up by Mihlali Mayambela. The result left Celje having lost three games in a row. Omonia's pre-match record had shown two wins in their previous two games, and this was their third victory in four. Both sides are at home next on Thursday 22 October in the same competition, Celje against Red Bull Salzburg and Omonia against Benfica.
Muamer Tankovic scored the second goal in the 59th minute and earned the highest rating of any player, 7.77. Montnor, who opened the scoring, and Coulibaly, who sealed it, also scored.
Omonia had 6 shots on target to Celje's 2, even though Celje controlled 61% of possession.
Omonia Nicosia won 3–0 away against Celje (half-time 0–1).
Celje met Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Z’dežele. Referee: Elcin Masiyev.
Team pages: Celje · Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Jaden Montnor (assist: Ewandro) — 0–1
- 59' Goal: Muamer Tankovic (assist: Jean-Kévin Duverne) — 0–2
- 84' Goal: Senou Coulibaly (assist: Mihlali Mayambela) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
Celje (4-4-2)
Omonia Nicosia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celje 40%, the draw 28%, Omonia Nicosia 32%. It finished Celje 0–3 Omonia Nicosia.
Home advantage edges Celje ahead of a stronger Omonia — Celje lead narrowly at 40% because the usual home advantage, helped by their control of the ball, outweighs Omonia Nicosia's edge on our strength rating, 1515 to 1471. The draw sits at 28%, a touch below the usual 29.2% for a gap this size, mainly because draws are less common in the UEFA Europa League.
Why Celje at 40%?
Home ground, against the rating. Omonia Nicosia sit 44 points higher on our strength rating — 1515 to 1471. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,391 such games. Celje hold 9 more possession points (55 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,142 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 40%?
Because Omonia Nicosia are the stronger side on our strength rating. Omonia Nicosia sit -0.31 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,370 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,322. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Omonia Nicosia's last five in the competitions we cover: D-W-L-W-W — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.4% of 1902 games when clearly hotter and 43.7% of 3649 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celje vs Omonia Nicosia final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Celje and Omonia Nicosia team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.