Union St. Gilloise vs 15.10.26 16:451 – 1Full Time
Real Sociedad — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Union St. Gilloise snatch late draw with Real Sociedad
Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1-1 at Den Dreef Stadium on matchday 2 of the UEFA Europa League league stage, with Sekou Keita's goal two minutes from time earning the hosts a point after a largely one-sided contest.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half passed without a goal, and the visitors went ahead straight after the restart. Beñat Turrientes scored in the 46th minute to put Real Sociedad 1-0 up, despite the visitors having been outshot by a wide margin to that point in the contest.
Union kept pressing and finally found their reward in the 88th minute, when Keita levelled to make it 1-1. The hosts finished with 16 shots to 5, five of them on target to one, while Real Sociedad held more of the ball with 56% possession to Union's 44%. Union are now unbeaten in 9 games.
Next, Union St. Gilloise host Nijlen in the Belgian Cup on Sunday 18 October, while Real Sociedad travel to Malaga in La Liga the same day.
Keita rescued the point with his 88th-minute equaliser and earned the match's highest rating, 8.07. Turrientes, who scored the opener, was rated 7.75.
Union St. Gilloise had 16 shots to Real Sociedad's 5, yet needed a goal two minutes from time to share the points.
Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Union St. Gilloise met Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Den Dreef Stadium. Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili.
Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · Real Sociedad · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Beñat Turrientes — 0–1
- 88' Goal: Sekou Keita — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Union St. Gilloise (3-1-4-2)
Real Sociedad (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union St. Gilloise 60%, the draw 21%, Real Sociedad 19%. It finished Union St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad.
Union St. Gilloise's stronger rating puts them clearly ahead — We give Union St. Gilloise 60% mainly because they sit 126 points higher on our strength rating, 1812 to 1686, and home sides in the UEFA Europa League tend to do better than usual. The draw sits at 21%, down from a usual 25% because draws are rarer in this competition and both sides' recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 60%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 126 points higher on our strength rating — 1812 to 1686. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,352 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (23.2% vs 25.4% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.0% of 4,456 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–25–22.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Real Sociedad at 19%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.2 points off. The goals environment takes 2.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Union St. Gilloise scored +0.75 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,838 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Real Sociedad scored +0.39 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Union St. Gilloise and Real Sociedad team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.