Match report
Zerrouki's goal sees Twente past ten-man FC Thun
Twente beat FC Thun 1-0 at De Grolsch Veste on the opening matchday of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. The only goal came 65 minutes in, five minutes after the Swiss visitors were reduced to ten men, and it was enough to send the hosts top of the ledger with a win in their first European outing of the campaign.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half passed without a goal, with the sides level at 0-0 at the interval. The match turned at 60 minutes, when Patrik Kristal was sent off for FC Thun. Twente, already dominant, pressed home their numerical advantage and Ramiz Zerrouki finished from Daouda Weidmann's assist to make it 1-0 in the 65th minute.
From there Thun, who scored nothing and conceded once after the dismissal, were largely restricted to defending, and Twente saw the game out without alarm. The result left John van den Brom's side unbeaten in eight games. Twente's next game is at home to Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sunday, while FC Thun host HNK Hajduk Split in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October.
Ramiz Zerrouki scored the decisive goal, converting Weidmann's assist in the 65th minute, and was the match's highest-rated player with 8.5.
Twente managed 19 shots to FC Thun's five, with the visitors failing to register a single effort on target.
Twente beat FC Thun 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Twente met FC Thun in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at De Grolsch Veste. Referee: Genc Nuza.
Team pages: Twente · FC Thun · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 60' Red card: Patrik Kristal
- 65' Goal: Ramiz Zerrouki (assist: Daouda Weidmann) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Twente (4-2-3-1)
FC Thun (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Twente 58%, the draw 23%, FC Thun 19%. It finished Twente 1–0 FC Thun.
Twente's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Twente 58% mainly because they sit 128 points higher on our strength rating, 1658 to 1530, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw starts near 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but drops to 23% because both sides' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Twente at 58%?
Twente sit 128 points higher on our strength rating — 1658 to 1530. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,352 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–24–16.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and FC Thun at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Twente have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than FC Thun in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FC Thun have shed 68 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,601 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Twente vs FC Thun final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Twente 1–0 FC Thun. Explore more on the Twente and FC Thun team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.