Heart Of Midlothian vs 15.10.26 19:001 – 1Full Time
FC Nordsjaelland — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Nordsjaelland snatch late equaliser to draw at Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland shared a 1-1 draw at Tynecastle Park in the opening matchday of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. Nicklas Røjkjær's goal in the 86th minute cancelled out the lead Oisin McEntee had given the hosts, and it ended Nordsjaelland's run of 5 wins in a row.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
McEntee struck in the 33rd minute, converting a chance created by Jamie McCart, and Hearts took a 1-0 lead into the interval. Wouter Vrancken's side had dominated the shot count, but they could not add a second before the break or in the early part of the second half.
Nordsjaelland stayed in the contest despite being outshot, and they levelled with four minutes of normal time left. Juho Lähteenmäki supplied the pass for Røjkjær to score, and the visitors held on to the point. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 19% chance.
Both sides are in action again on Thursday 22 October. Hearts travel to Trabzonspor, while Nordsjaelland are at home to CSKA Sofia, both in the Europa Conference League.
Jamie McCart set up McEntee's opener and shared the joint-highest rating of 8.6 with Nordsjaelland's Andreas Hansen. McEntee scored the goal and was rated 8.5.
Hearts had 19 shots to 8 for Nordsjaelland, yet managed only one goal from them.
Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Heart Of Midlothian met FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Tynecastle Park. Referee: Damian Kos.
Team pages: Heart Of Midlothian · FC Nordsjaelland · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 33' Goal: Oisin McEntee (assist: Jamie McCart) — 1–0 · Watch Oisin McEntee's goal video (33')
- 86' Goal: Nicklas Røjkjær (assist: Juho Lähteenmäki) — 1–1 · Watch Nicklas Røjkjær's goal video (86')
Starting line-ups
Heart Of Midlothian (4-2-3-1)
FC Nordsjaelland (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Heart Of Midlothian 20%, the draw 19%, FC Nordsjaelland 61%. It finished Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland.
Nordsjaelland's strength edge outweighs home advantage — We give FC Nordsjaelland 61% because they sit 267 points higher on our strength rating, 1614 to 1347, which outweighs the usual home advantage Heart Of Midlothian start with. The draw sits at 19%, starting from the usual 20% for a gap this size and nudged down by both sides' recent games averaging 3.2 goals.
Why FC Nordsjaelland at 61%?
FC Nordsjaelland sit 267 points higher on our strength rating — 1614 to 1347. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,868 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–21–58.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Heart Of Midlothian at 20%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Heart Of Midlothian in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FC Nordsjaelland have gained 69 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,197 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Oisin McEntee's goal against FC Nordsjaelland (33').
- Watch Nicklas Røjkjær's goal against Heart Of Midlothian (86').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland. Explore more on the Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.