St. Truiden vs 15.10.26 19:002 – 0Full Time
Saburtalo — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
St. Truiden beat Saburtalo 2-0 in Conference League opener
St. Truiden began their UEFA Europa Conference League campaign with a 2-0 victory over Saburtalo at Daio Wasabi Stayen in the league stage matchday 1 fixture. The result ended a run of three defeats in a row for the home side, who had lost four of their previous five games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael put the hosts ahead in the 11th minute, converting a chance created by Samed Baždar. St. Truiden led 1-0 at the interval and kept firm control of the contest, while Saburtalo struggled to build any threat of their own, failing to register a single shot on target.
The second goal came late, in the 88th minute, when Ilias Sebaoui finished following a pass from Frederic Soelle Soelle. It sealed the points for St. Truiden and left Saburtalo with a third consecutive defeat.
St. Truiden turn to domestic action next, hosting Lommel United in the Belgian Cup on Sunday 18 October. Saburtalo return to European duty at home to Mjallby AIF in the Conference League on Thursday 22 October.
Visar Musliu earned the highest rating among St. Truiden's performers, 8.2, in a match where the hosts conceded no goals and allowed no shots on target. Vanwesemael, who scored the opener, was rated 8.0.
St. Truiden had 19 shots to Saburtalo's 2, underlining how one-sided the contest was.
St. Truiden beat Saburtalo 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
St. Truiden met Saburtalo in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Daio Wasabi Stayen. Referee: Mehmet Turkmen.
Team pages: St. Truiden · Saburtalo · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael (assist: Samed Baždar) — 1–0
- 88' Goal: Ilias Sebaoui (assist: Frederic Soelle Soelle) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
St. Truiden (4-2-3-1)
Saburtalo (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Truiden 76%, the draw 14%, Saburtalo 10%. It finished St. Truiden 2–0 Saburtalo.
A big strength gap puts St. Truiden well ahead — We give St. Truiden 76% mainly because our strength rating has them 308 points higher, 1539 to 1231, with the usual home advantage adding to it. The draw sits at 14%, starting from about 16% for a gap this size and nudged down because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why St. Truiden at 76%?
St. Truiden sit 308 points higher on our strength rating — 1539 to 1231. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,559 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–16–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 76% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 14% and Saburtalo at 10%.
Why is the draw only 14%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 15.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,922. The goals environment takes 1.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Truiden have shed 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,601 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Truiden vs Saburtalo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the St. Truiden and Saburtalo team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.