Mjallby AIF vs 15.10.26 16:452 – 0Full Time
Inter Club d'Escaldes — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Mjallby AIF beat Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-0 to end winless run
Mjallby AIF won 2-0 against Inter Club d'Escaldes at Olympia on matchday 1 of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage. The result ended a run of five games without a win for the home side, who had lost four of their previous five matches.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless at half-time, with Mjallby holding a clear edge in shots on target. They broke through in the 54th minute, when Jacob Bergström scored to make it 1-0. Eleven minutes later, in the 65th minute, Abdullah Iqbal set up Axel Norén, who finished to double the lead.
Inter Club d'Escaldes had more of the ball, with 56 per cent possession to 44 per cent, but struggled to turn it into chances. Mjallby had 12 shots to 8 and won six corners to two, and the visitors' unbeaten run of five games came to an end.
Both sides return to Conference League action on Thursday 22 October. Mjallby travel to Saburtalo, while Inter Club d'Escaldes host Universitatea Craiova.
Abdullah Iqbal provided the assist for Norén's goal and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.3. Norén, who scored the second, was rated 8.0.
Mjallby put seven of their 12 shots on target, while Inter Club d'Escaldes managed just one on target from their eight attempts.
Mjallby AIF beat Inter Club d'Escaldes 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Mjallby AIF met Inter Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Olympia. Referee: A. Menelaos.
Team pages: Mjallby AIF · Inter Club d'Escaldes · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 54' Goal: Jacob Bergström — 1–0
- 65' Goal: Axel Norén (assist: Abdullah Iqbal) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Mjallby AIF (3-5-1-1)
Inter Club d'Escaldes (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Mjallby AIF 74%, the draw 17%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 9%. It finished Mjallby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
A big strength gap puts Mjallby AIF clearly ahead — We give Mjallby AIF 74% mainly because they sit 320 points higher on our strength rating, 1365 to 1044, and the usual home advantage adds to that. The draw sits at 17%, close to the usual 16% for a gap this size, nudged up slightly because both sides' own recent games average 2.5 goals.
Why Mjallby AIF at 74%?
Mjallby AIF sit 320 points higher on our strength rating — 1365 to 1044. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,559 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–16–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 74% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Inter Club d'Escaldes at 9%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,322.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter Club d'Escaldes have gained 114 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,197 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Inter Club d'Escaldes's last five in the competitions we cover: D-W-W-D-D — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.4% of 1902 games when clearly hotter and 43.7% of 3649 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.