Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs 15.10.26 16:451 – 1Full Time
FC Midtjylland — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold FC Midtjylland to a 1-1 draw at Arena Kombetare
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland shared the points in a 1-1 draw on matchday 1 of the UEFA Europa Conference League's league stage, with both goals arriving in a seven-minute spell in the first half at Arena Kombetare.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts went ahead in the 26th minute when Ildi Gruda scored from an Altin Kryeziu assist. The lead lasted only until the 33rd minute, when Cho Gue-Sung levelled for the visitors, Rasmus Kristensen supplying the final ball. The score stood at 1-1 at half-time and neither side found a second goal after the break.
Midtjylland created the better chances, with 13 shots to Egnatia's 10 and six corners to two, though each side put five efforts on target. Egnatia held 53 per cent of possession to the visitors' 47 per cent. The draw ended Midtjylland's run of four wins in a row. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw an 18% chance. Both sides play again on Thursday 22 October, Egnatia away to Aarhus and Midtjylland at home to St. Truiden, in the same competition.
Eneo Bitri earned the highest rating among Egnatia's players, 8.3, in a match without a goal or assist from him. Eljon Sota followed on 7.9 for the hosts.
Midtjylland's expected goals figure of 1.37 against Egnatia's 0.43 showed how much more dangerous the visitors were in front of goal.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë met FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Arena Kombetare. Referee: Stefan Ebner.
Team pages: Egnatia Rrogozhinë · FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Ildi Gruda (assist: Altin Kryeziu) — 1–0
- 33' Goal: Cho Gue-Sung (assist: Rasmus Kristensen) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (4-3-3)
- 98 Mario Dajsinani
- 29 Andrey Yago
- 28 Eljon Sota
- 33 Eneo Bitri
- 22 Guillem Jaime
- 20 Karim Loukili
- 6 Albano Aleksi (c)
- 17 Altin Kryeziu
- 10 Alessandro Albanese
- 2 D. Adjessa
- 77 Ildi Gruda
FC Midtjylland (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Egnatia Rrogozhinë 13%, the draw 18%, FC Midtjylland 69%. It finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland.
Midtjylland's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give FC Midtjylland 69% mainly because our strength rating puts them 348 points higher, 1673 to 1324, which outweighs the usual home advantage Egnatia Rrogozhinë start with. The draw sits at 18%, close to the usual draw rate of about 19% for a strength gap this size, with nothing listed moving it.
Why FC Midtjylland at 69%?
FC Midtjylland sit 348 points higher on our strength rating — 1673 to 1324. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,868 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 12–18–70.
Why only 69%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 69% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 13%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,180.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Midtjylland's last five in the competitions we cover: L-W-W-W-W — the hotter side across the games we track. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.4% of 1902 games when clearly hotter and 43.7% of 3649 when clearly colder. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 20 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.