Gremio vs Atletico-MG — Copa Do Brasil: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsPrime Video Sport BrasilYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′Gremio, goal:1–0assist
- 31′Atletico-MG, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 46′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 46′Gremio, substitution:off
- 47′Gremio, goal:2–0assist
- 60′Gremio, substitution:off
- 60′Gremio, substitution:off
- 66′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 70′Gremio, substitution:off
- 76′Gremio, substitution:off
- 83′Atletico-MG, substitution:off
- 90+2′Gremio, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Gremio, red card:
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Gremio
Atletico-MG
Match report
Gremio beat Atletico-MG 2-0 in Copa Do Brasil semi-final
Gremio won 2-0 against Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil semi-finals at the Arena do Grêmio, taking a first-half lead and adding a second goal straight after the interval. The hosts finished the match with ten men but never looked in danger of surrendering their advantage.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Carlos Vinícius opened the scoring in the 11th minute, converting a delivery from Weverton to make it 1-0. Gremio held that lead to half-time, and within a minute of the restart they doubled it: Erick Noriega scored in the 47th minute from a João Pedro assist.
The numbers painted a lopsided picture of the contest. Atletico-MG, managed by Eduardo Domínguez, had 76% of the possession and 20 shots to Gremio's 6, along with 14 corners to 4, yet only four of those efforts were on target. Gremio, under Renato Gaúcho, were clinical with the chances they created.
Gremio's night ended with a red card for Gustavo Martins in the 90+5 minute, leaving them with ten men for the closing stages. Atletico-MG have now lost three games in a row. Gremio next travel to Flamengo in the Brasileirão Série A on Wednesday, while Atletico-MG are away to Botafogo in the same competition.
Carlos Vinícius scored the opening goal and was the top-rated performer with 7.73, ahead of João Pedro, who set up the second goal and was rated 7.58.
Atletico-MG won 14 corners to Gremio's 4 but could not turn that pressure into a goal.
Gremio beat Atletico-MG 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Gremio met Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil (Semi-finals). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 21:30 UTC at Arena do Grêmio. Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.
Team pages: Gremio · Atletico-MG · Copa Do Brasil
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Carlos Vinícius (assist: Weverton) — 1–0
- 47' Goal: Erick Noriega (assist: João Pedro) — 2–0
- 90+5' Red card: Gustavo Martins
Starting line-ups
Gremio (3-4-2-1)
Atletico-MG (4-1-4-1)
- 1 Gabriel Delfim
- 6 Renan Lodi
- 14 Vitor Hugo
- 13 Lyanco
- 3 Léo Duarte
- 8 Maycon
- 11 Bernard
- 15 Kevin Castaño
- 21 Alan Franco
- 28 Tomás Cuello
- 30 Victor Hugo
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gremio 38%, the draw 30%, Atletico-MG 32%. It finished Gremio 2–0 Atletico-MG.
Home advantage edges Gremio despite the rating gap — Our strength rating has Atletico-MG 61 points higher, 1569 to 1508, but the usual home advantage is enough to give Gremio a slight lean at 38% to 32%. The draw sits at 30%, starting from the usual 29% for a gap this size and nudged up 1.2 points by recent games averaging 2.6 goals.
Why Gremio at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Atletico-MG sit 61 points higher on our strength rating — 1569 to 1508. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,136 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Atletico-MG are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Atletico-MG at 32%.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,368. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gremio vs Atletico-MG final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Gremio 2–0 Atletico-MG. Explore more on the Gremio and Atletico-MG team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.

