Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen — DFB Pokal: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBorussia DortmundYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 6′Borussia Dortmund, goal:1–0assist
- 17′Borussia Dortmund, goal:2–0assist
- 24′Werder Bremen, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time2 – 0
- 49′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Werder Bremen, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 59′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 59′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 59′Werder Bremen, substitution:off
- 64′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Werder Bremen, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 68′Werder Bremen, goal:2–2assist
- 71′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 71′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 71′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 84′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 90+3′Borussia Dortmund, goal:3–2
- Full-time3 – 2
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Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Match report
Sabitzer's late winner sends Borussia Dortmund past Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund beat Werder Bremen 3-2 at Signal Iduna Park in the DFB Pokal Round of 32, Marcel Sabitzer scoring in the third minute of stoppage time (90+3) to settle a match that had swung back and forth after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dortmund took control early. Serhou Guirassy opened the scoring in the sixth minute from Julian Ryerson's assist, and Carney Chukwuemeka doubled the lead in the 17th minute after a pass from Jobe Bellingham. The hosts led 2-0 at half-time and had the majority of the possession.
Bremen worked their way back after the interval. Niclas Füllkrug converted a penalty in the 65th minute and, three minutes later, equalised from Youri Regeer's assist to make it 2-2. Bremen's run of six games unbeaten was ended when Sabitzer found the decisive goal in added time.
Both sides turn to the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October: Dortmund travel to Bayern München, while Bremen host 1899 Hoffenheim.
Füllkrug scored twice for Bremen, a penalty in the 65th minute and an equaliser three minutes later, and carried the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.2 despite finishing on the losing side.
Bremen put six of their 12 shots on target, against four of 12 for Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund beat Werder Bremen 3–2 (half-time 2–0).
Borussia Dortmund met Werder Bremen in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Signal Iduna Park. Referee: Robert Schroder.
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · Werder Bremen · DFB Pokal
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Serhou Guirassy (assist: Julian Ryerson) — 1–0 · Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal video (6')
- 17' Goal: Carney Chukwuemeka (assist: Jobe Bellingham) — 2–0 · Watch Carney Chukwuemeka's goal video (17')
- 65' Goal (penalty): Niclas Füllkrug — 2–1 · Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal video (65')
- 68' Goal: Niclas Füllkrug (assist: Youri Regeer) — 2–2 · Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal video (68')
- 90+3' Goal: Marcel Sabitzer — 3–2 · Watch Marcel Sabitzer's goal video (90+3')
Starting line-ups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Karl Hein
- 33 Mick Schmetgens
- 32 Marco Friedl
- 5 Amos Pieper
- 13 Arthur
- 44 Youri Regeer
- 23 Dariusz Stalmach
- 17 Marco Grüll
- 20 Chuki
- 18 Eren Dinkçi
- 26 Cedric Itten
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Borussia Dortmund 71%, the draw 15%, Werder Bremen 14%. It finished Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Werder Bremen.
Dortmund's clear strength edge drives a one-sided forecast — Our strength rating puts Borussia Dortmund 234 points above Werder Bremen, 1854 to 1620, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 71%. The draw starts near 17%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 15% because both sides' own recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 71%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 234 points higher on our strength rating — 1854 to 1620. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,062 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–16–13.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 15% and Werder Bremen at 14%.
Why is the draw only 15%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,446. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Borussia Dortmund have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than Werder Bremen in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Borussia Dortmund are 234 rating points stronger, but this is a cup tie between sides from the same division — the kind heavy favorites have not put away at their league-day rate. Same-division cup favorites this heavy won 57.1% of 757 ties where the class table expected 58.9% — worst early in the season and, oddly, at home, where the usual cup home edge shrinks. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this DFB Pokal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Serhou Guirassy's goal against Werder Bremen (6').
- Watch Carney Chukwuemeka's goal against Werder Bremen (17').
- Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal against Borussia Dortmund (65').
- Watch Niclas Füllkrug's goal against Borussia Dortmund (68').
- Watch Marcel Sabitzer's goal against Werder Bremen (90+3').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Werder Bremen. Explore more on the Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen team pages or the DFB Pokal page.

