Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig — DFB Pokal: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 9′Rot-Weiß Essen, goal:1–0
- 23′Rot-Weiß Essen, yellow card:Time wasting
- 34′RB Leipzig, yellow card:Foul
- 44′RB Leipzig, red card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 46′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 62′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 62′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 65′Rot-Weiß Essen, substitution:off
- 73′RB Leipzig, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Rot-Weiß Essen, substitution:off
- 76′RB Leipzig, yellow card:Foul
- 77′Rot-Weiß Essen, yellow card:Foul
- 78′RB Leipzig, goal:1–1assist
- 80′Rot-Weiß Essen, substitution:F Vasicoff
- 80′Rot-Weiß Essen, substitution:off
- 82′RB Leipzig, goal:1–2assist
- 82′RB Leipzig, yellow card:Martín Gastón DemichelisDissent
- 87′RB Leipzig, substitution:off
- 90+5′RB Leipzig, yellow card:Argument
- 90+5′Rot-Weiß Essen, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
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Player Ratings
Rot-Weiß Essen
RB Leipzig
Match report
Baumgartner double sees ten-man RB Leipzig past Rot-Weiß Essen in DFB Pokal
RB Leipzig came from behind to beat Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 in the DFB Pokal Round of 32 at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, scoring twice in the final 12 minutes despite playing the second half of the first half's closing stages and everything after with ten men.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lucas Brumme put Essen ahead after nine minutes, and the hosts took that lead into the interval. Leipzig's task grew harder at 44 minutes when Nicolas Seiwald was sent off, leaving them a man down with the score at 1-0 to the home side.
The visitors levelled in the 78th minute when Christoph Baumgartner finished from Antonio Nusa's pass, and he struck again four minutes later, this time set up by David Raum, to make it 1-2 in the 82nd minute. Leipzig had 63% of the possession and 11 shots to nine, while Essen managed one shot on target to Leipzig's two.
Leipzig scored twice and conceded none after Seiwald's dismissal. Their next game is away to FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday.
David Raum provided the assist for the winner and was the highest-rated performer at 8.76. Christoph Baumgartner scored both Leipzig goals and was rated 8.50.
Leipzig held 63% of the possession despite playing with ten men for the entire second half.
RB Leipzig won 2–1 away against Rot-Weiß Essen (half-time 1–0).
Rot-Weiß Essen met RB Leipzig in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32). Kick-off was Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse. Referee: Florian Exner.
Team pages: Rot-Weiß Essen · RB Leipzig · DFB Pokal
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Lucas Brumme — 1–0
- 44' Red card: Nicolas Seiwald
- 78' Goal: Christoph Baumgartner (assist: Antonio Nusa) — 1–1 · Watch Christoph Baumgartner's goal video (78')
- 82' Goal: Christoph Baumgartner (assist: David Raum) — 1–2 · Watch Christoph Baumgartner's goal video (82')
Starting line-ups
Rot-Weiß Essen (4-2-3-1)
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rot-Weiß Essen 3%, the draw 16%, RB Leipzig 81%. It finished Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig.
Leipzig's huge strength edge makes this one-sided — RB Leipzig sit 444 points higher on our strength rating, 1761 to 1317, and this cup tie across divisions adds to that, since Rot-Weiß Essen's league sits outside the divisions we rate, so we give Leipzig 81%. The draw starts near 19% for a gap this size, then the cup-tie setting and both sides' high-scoring recent games pull it down to 16%.
Why RB Leipzig at 81%?
RB Leipzig sit 444 points higher on our strength rating — 1761 to 1317. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,287 such games. A cup tie across divisions: RB Leipzig carry a 444-point rating edge over Rot-Weiß Essen, whose league sits outside the divisions we rate. Rot-Weiß Essen have fewer than 25 rated matches, and their strength estimate began at our default starting value. The 300 most similar past games finished 8–19–73.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 81% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 16% and Rot-Weiß Essen at 3%.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,446. Cup ties across divisions take 2.1 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
RB Leipzig have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Rot-Weiß Essen in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. RB Leipzig played 4 competitive matches between 13–24 October 2026 (UTC dates). Rot-Weiß Essen played 0 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this DFB Pokal fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Christoph Baumgartner's goal against Rot-Weiß Essen (78').
- Watch Christoph Baumgartner's goal against Rot-Weiß Essen (82').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig. Explore more on the Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig team pages or the DFB Pokal page.