Scotland vs 29.09.26 18:450 – 3Full Time
Switzerland — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Ten-man Scotland overwhelmed by Switzerland at Hampden Park
Switzerland eased to a 3-0 win over Scotland in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture at Hampden Park Stadium, a result that leaves Steve Clarke's side struggling in third place while M. Yakin's team sit top of the group. The contest was effectively decided in the opening quarter of an hour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jack Hendry was sent off for Scotland in the 11th minute, and Ricardo Rodríguez punished the hosts almost immediately, converting a minute later to make it 1-0. Scotland went in at half-time already behind, and the extra man told increasingly as the second half wore on. Nico Elvedi doubled the lead in the 55th minute, finishing off a Dan Ndoye assist, before Zeki Amdouni added a third in the 82nd minute, again teed up by Ndoye.
With a numerical advantage for almost the entire match, Switzerland dominated territory and chances, racking up 23 shots to Scotland's two and completing the rout without reply. The scoreline reflected a one-sided second period in which Scotland, reduced to ten men from early on, could not find a way back into the game.
Dan Ndoye did not find the net himself but set up both of Switzerland's second-half goals, earning the highest rating on the pitch at 8.6.
Switzerland's dominance was laid bare in the shot count, outshooting Scotland 23 to 2 over the match.
Switzerland won 3–0 away against Scotland (half-time 0–1).
Scotland met Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 2). Kick-off was Tuesday, 29 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Hampden Park Stadium. Referee: Nenad Minaković.
Team pages: Scotland · Switzerland · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 11' Red card: Jack Hendry
- 11' Goal: — 0–1
- 55' Goal: Nico Elvedi (assist: Dan Ndoye) — 0–2 · Watch Nico Elvedi's goal video (55')
- 82' Goal: Zeki Amdouni (assist: Dan Ndoye) — 0–3 · Watch Zeki Amdouni's goal video (82')
Starting line-ups
Scotland (3-4-1-2)
Switzerland (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Scotland 24%, the draw 26%, Switzerland 50%. It finished Scotland 0–3 Switzerland.
Switzerland's rating gap outweighs Scotland's home ground — Switzerland are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Switzerland's 50%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Switzerland at 50%?
Switzerland sit 180 points higher on our strength rating — 1762 to 1942. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.8% of 6,688 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–27–50.
Why only 50%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 50% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Scotland at 24%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 28,108. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Switzerland have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than Scotland in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Last five: Scotland W-L-L-D, Switzerland W-W-D-D-W — Switzerland are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7 in all competitions (4 wins, 3 draws), a run going back to June 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.3% of 1900 games when clearly hotter and 43.9% of 3635 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Scotland vs Switzerland final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Scotland 0–3 Switzerland. Explore more on the Scotland and Switzerland team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.