Match report
Kerkez strike gives Hungary narrow win over Georgia
Hungary edged Georgia 1-0 at the Puskás Aréna in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture that leaves Rossi's side third in Group 2 with four points from three games, while Georgia remain fourth on a single point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal came in the 35th minute, when Miloš Kerkez converted an assist from Dániel Lukács to put the hosts ahead, a lead Hungary held through to half-time and never relinquished.
Hungary dominated territory and chances without adding to their tally, finishing with 26 shots to Georgia's 8 and eight on target against three, despite having less of the ball, with Georgia holding 58 percent possession. Three yellow cards for the hosts and two for the visitors reflected a physical contest, though neither side saw a man sent off.
Kerkez scored the only goal of the match and finished as the top-rated performer on the pitch with a mark of 8.24.
Hungary managed 26 shots to Georgia's 8, a striking disparity given Georgia's greater share of possession.
Hungary beat Georgia 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Hungary met Georgia in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3). Kick-off was Friday, 2 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Puskás Aréna. Referee: Srdan Jovanovic.
Team pages: Hungary · Georgia · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 35' Goal: Miloš Kerkez (assist: Dániel Lukács) — 1–0 · Watch Miloš Kerkez's goal video (35')
Starting line-ups
Hungary (4-2-3-1)
Georgia (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hungary 57%, the draw 24%, Georgia 19%. It finished Hungary 1–0 Georgia.
Hungary's rating edge carries it — Hungary are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Hungary's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Hungary at 57%?
Hungary sit 145 points higher on our strength rating — 1763 to 1619. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 13,287 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–21–15.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Georgia at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,082.
What did we measure but not count?
Hungary (11 fully-tracked matches with us) and Georgia (12) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hungary vs Georgia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hungary 1–0 Georgia. Explore more on the Hungary and Georgia team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.